Molde have produced an average of 3.9 total goals per away match in the league this season, scoring 20 and conceding 19 across 10 road games. They have failed to score only once away from home while keeping just a single clean sheet. Lillestrom have maintained an average of 3.2 total goals in their home matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15 across 10 outings. Additionally, seven of the last nine head-to-head encounters between these clubs have produced three or more goals, yielding an average of 3.0 goals per meeting. With Molde also missing several defensive players through injury, another productive contest is well supported by the numbers.
Lillestrom vs Molde prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 23
- Venue
- Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom
- Referee
- Espen Eskas, Norway
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +12 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Lillestrom welcome Molde for round 23 of the Eliteserien campaign, with four points separating the two sides in the upper half of the table. Molde sit fourth on 36 points and occupy a Conference League qualification position, while Lillestrom hold sixth spot on 32 points. Lillestrom claimed a 1-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier in the season and will seek another positive result on their own ground.
Both teams have shown steady attacking output alongside regular defensive vulnerabilities throughout the season. Molde have scored 44 goals across 21 matches and average 2.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per away match, managing just one clean sheet on the road. Lillestrom have recorded an all-or-nothing home profile with five wins, zero draws, and five losses, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
Squad availability may also influence proceedings, with Molde managing a lengthy injury list that includes key attacking contributor E. Hestad alongside several defensive options. With both teams regularly involved in open fixtures, goals appear likely at both ends of the pitch.
Key factors
- Molde away matches average 3.9 total goals this season, with 20 goals scored and 19 conceded across 10 fixtures.
- Lillestrom home games average 3.2 total goals, with 17 scored and 15 conceded in 10 outings.
- Head-to-head history shows over 2.5 goals occurring in 77.8 percent of the last nine meetings between the sides.
- Molde have kept only one clean sheet in 10 away matches and failed to score in only one.
- Molde carry significant absences into the fixture, including eight-goal scorer E. Hestad alongside defensive injuries to B. Risa and V. Hoff.
Team news
Lillestrom
- E. B. GarnasKnee Injury
- C. JebaraInjury
Molde
- S. HansenInjury
- E. HestadLeg Injury
- V. HoffKnee Injury
- M. KikkenborgAchilles Tendon Injury
- H. StenevikInjury
- S. DiopInactive
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 3.7 goals per game (Lillestrom at home plus Molde away).
Key players this season
Lillestrom
- Vá5A
Molde
- E. Breivik9G · 9A
- K. Lonebu8G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtPromotion - Champions League (Qualification) | 23 | +38 | 56 |
| 2 | VikingPromotion - Champions League (Qualification) | 23 | +37 | 56 |
| 3 | MoldePromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 23 | +17 | 40 |
| 4 | TromsoPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 23 | +11 | 40 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 23 | +12 | 37 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 23 | +1 | 36 |
| 7 | Brann | 23 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 23 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | KFUM Oslo | 23 | -9 | 29 |
Head-to-head
- 3
- Lillestrom
- 1
- Draws
- 5
- Molde
Molde have won 5 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, 78% went over 2.5.
- 2026-04-06Molde0-1Lillestrom
- 2024-10-06Lillestrom1-2Molde
- 2024-08-11Lillestrom1-2Molde
- 2024-07-07Molde3-0Lillestrom
- 2023-11-12Molde4-0Lillestrom
Our record in Eliteserien
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Over 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 predictions · How goals markets settle · Over 2.5 record
Other Eliteserien predictions
Teams around them in the table
Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

