Manchester City enter this match in commanding form with five consecutive league wins, having scored 2.5 goals per game on their travels while conceding just 0.5. Liverpool have drawn both of their home league matches so far and are severely weakened by injuries in the attacking third, with leading scorer Alexander Isak and top assist provider Cody Gakpo among those sidelined. While Liverpool's overall defensive record remains respectable at 0.8 goals conceded per game, their reduced firepower makes an outright home victory difficult to achieve against a City side that has won the last three meetings between the clubs. Backing Manchester City to win or draw covers the most likely outcomes while respecting Liverpool's unbeaten league status.
Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 6
- Venue
- Anfield, Liverpool
- Referee
- Chris Kavanagh, England
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +3 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +8 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Manchester City or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Premier League leaders Manchester City travel to Anfield looking to maintain their flawless start to the campaign. Pep Guardiola's side have collected a maximum 15 points from their opening five league outings, scoring 13 goals and conceding only five. Their recent form includes five straight victories across all competitions, powered by the scoring form of Erling Haaland.
Liverpool sit sixth in the standings with nine points, remaining unbeaten after five matches with two wins and three draws. However, Arne Slot's side have shared the points in both of their home league encounters this season, scoring two and conceding two at Anfield. Compounding their challenge is an extensive injury list that deprives them of key offensive contributors.
Recent head-to-head encounters also favour the visitors. Manchester City have won the last three competitive meetings between these sides, including a 2-1 league victory at Anfield in February 2026 and a 4-0 FA Cup triumph in April 2026. With the hosts missing several primary attacking outlets, City arrive with a significant momentum advantage.
Key factors
- Manchester City top the table with a perfect record of five wins from five matches, scoring 13 goals.
- Liverpool are missing key offensive players through injury, including top scorer Alexander Isak and assist leader Cody Gakpo.
- Liverpool have drawn both of their Premier League home matches this season, scoring only two goals at Anfield.
- Manchester City have won each of the past three head-to-head fixtures against Liverpool across all competitions.
- City have conceded just one goal across two away league games, averaging only 0.5 goals conceded per match on the road.
Team news
Liverpool
- C. BradleyKnee Injury
- H. EkitikeAchilles Tendon Injury
- J. FrimpongMuscle Injury
- G. LeoniKnee Injury
- A. NalloLeg Injury
- D. SzoboszlaiMuscle Injury
- V. MunozKnee Injury
Manchester City
- A. SemenyoKnee Injury
- M. KovacicInjury
- M. NunesKnock
- N. O'ReillyBack Injury
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 3.4 goals per game (Liverpool at home plus Manchester City away).
Key players this season
Liverpool
- A. Isak5G
- C. Gakpo3A
Manchester City
- E. Haaland8G
- R. Cherki4G · 2A
- A. SemenyoKnee Injury3A
- J. Gvardiol3A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester CityPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 7 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | ArsenalPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 7 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 | BrightonPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 7 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 | ChelseaPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | LiverpoolPromotion - Europa League (League phase) | 7 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | +1 | 10 |
Head-to-head
- 3
- Liverpool
- 2
- Draws
- 5
- Manchester City
Manchester City have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game.
- 2026-04-04Manchester City4-0Liverpool
- 2026-02-08Liverpool1-2Manchester City
- 2025-11-09Manchester City3-0Liverpool
- 2025-02-23Manchester City0-2Liverpool
- 2024-12-01Liverpool2-0Manchester City
Our record in Premier League
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
Other Premier League predictions
Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.