BetGenius

Manchester City vs Bournemouth prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sun, Aug 23, 01:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 1
Venue
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Referee
Jarred Gillett, Australia

Recent form

Manchester City
79Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +4 goal difference

Bournemouth
36Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Match Winner
Pick
Manchester City to win
Confidence76%

BetGenius backs Manchester City to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Manchester City host Bournemouth at the Etihad Stadium looking to bounce back following a 3-0 defeat against Arsenal in their previous fixture. The hosts enter this matchup with a dominant home head-to-head record against the Cherries, having won all 5 of their last 5 home encounters in this fixture.

Bournemouth arrive with notable squad absences, dealing with injuries to players such as T. Adams, D. Brooks, J. Araujo, A. Adli, E. J. Kroupi, and V. Milosavljevic, alongside a suspension for R. Christie. Manchester City also have personnel issues, with J. Doku, M. Nunes, and R. McAidoo out injured, and Savinho absent through illness.

Historically, this fixture produces high-scoring affairs, averaging 3.6 goals per match across the last 10 meetings, with 80% seeing over 2.5 goals and both teams finding the net. Manchester City hold a distinct historical advantage, having won 8 of the previous 10 head-to-head clashes.

Key factors

  • Manchester City have won 5 out of 5 home meetings against Bournemouth in the provided head-to-head record.
  • Across the 10-match head-to-head sample, Manchester City have won 8 times, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.
  • Over 2.5 goals and BTTS have landed in 80% of the last 10 meetings between the two sides.
  • Bournemouth are missing multiple players through injury (T. Adams, D. Brooks, J. Araujo, A. Adli, E. J. Kroupi, V. Milosavljevic) and suspension (R. Christie).
  • Manchester City are without J. Doku, M. Nunes, R. McAidoo, and Savinho.

Team news

Manchester City

  • J. DokuCalf Injury
  • N. O'ReillyBack Injury

Bournemouth

  • A. AdliInjury
  • J. AraujoThigh Injury
  • E. J. KroupiFoot Injury
  • V. MilosavljevicInjury

Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Statistical comparison

Manchester City at home vs Bournemouth away
Played
W-D-L
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
60%
BTTS (last 5)
100%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Key players this season

Manchester City

  • E. Haaland3G
  • R. Cherki2G · 2A
  • P. Foden2A
  • A. Semenyo2A

Bournemouth

  • Evanilson2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester CityPromotion - Champions League (League phase)3+59
2ArsenalPromotion - Champions League (League phase)3+59
3Hull CityPromotion - Champions League (League phase)3+37
4ChelseaPromotion - Champions League (League phase)3+16
12Sunderland304
13Crystal Palace3-43
14Ipswich3-43
15Bournemouth3-12
16Nottingham Forest3-12
17Aston Villa3-51
18TottenhamRelegation - Championship3-51

Head-to-head

Full record →
Manchester City
7
Draws
1
Bournemouth
1

Manchester City have won 7 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.7 goals a game, both teams scored in 78% of them.

  • 2026-05-19Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester City
  • 2025-11-02Manchester City 3-1 Bournemouth
  • 2025-05-20Manchester City 3-1 Bournemouth
  • 2025-03-30Bournemouth 1-2 Manchester City
  • 2024-11-02Bournemouth 2-1 Manchester City

Our record in Premier League

67%26 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

TodayWON
Market
Match Winner
Pick
Manchester City to win
Confidence76%

Manchester City have a perfect home record in recent head-to-head history against Bournemouth, winning all 5 previous meetings at home. Bournemouth also face an extensive list of absentees including suspension to R. Christie and several injury concerns.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.