BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Fir Park, Motherwell
Form

Recent form

Motherwell
7Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -9 goal difference

Celtic
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + Celtic or Draw

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals + Celtic or Draw (Combo Bet) at 76% confidence — a strong call.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

League leaders Celtic travel to Fir Park to take on ninth-placed Motherwell in round eight of the Scottish Premiership. Celtic hold the summit with 18 points from seven league matches, having secured maximum points from their three away fixtures while scoring eight goals and conceding only two on their travels.

Motherwell enter this fixture on a difficult sequence of results, having suffered three consecutive league defeats against Dundee, Aberdeen, and Rangers. That run included a heavy 4-0 home loss against Aberdeen, leaving the Steelmen on eight points with a goal difference of minus two.

Historical head-to-head meetings heavily favour Celtic, who have won eight of the past ten encounters between the sides, including five of the last six contested at Fir Park. However, Celtic carry several absences including suspended midfielder Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and injured defenders Alistair Johnston and Jota, which adds a layer of caution to their visit.

Availability

Team news

Motherwell

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Celtic

  • C. Carter-VickersHealth problems
  • L. EmenaloOff the roster
  • A. JohnstonLeg Injury
  • JotaOff the roster
  • S. MheukaOff the roster
  • Yang Hyun-JunHamstring Injury
  • J. van den BergOff the roster
  • A. TrustyInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Motherwell at homeCeltic away
4
Played
4
1-1-2
W-D-L
4-0-0
0.8
Scored /game
2.5
1.5
Conceded /game
0.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Motherwell at home plus Celtic away).

Players

Key players this season

Motherwell

  • A. Lowry3G
  • Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise2A

Celtic

  • B. Nygren6G · 3A
  • C. Durán5G · 5A
  • K. Høgh3G · 2A
  • K. Tierney3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1CelticPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+1824
2RangersPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+620
3Heart Of MidlothianPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+516
4DundeePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+314
7AberdeenPremiership (Relegation Group)9011
8ST MirrenPremiership (Relegation Group)9-810
9FalkirkPremiership (Relegation Group)9-39
10MotherwellPremiership (Relegation Group)9-58
11KilmarnockPremiership (Relegation Group)9-108
12HibernianPremiership (Relegation Group)9-57
History

Head-to-head

1
Motherwell
1
Draws
8
Celtic

Celtic have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.5 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-10-11Motherwell0-2Celtic
  • 2026-05-13Motherwell2-3Celtic
  • 2026-03-14Celtic3-1Motherwell
  • 2025-12-30Motherwell2-0Celtic
  • 2025-10-05Celtic3-2Motherwell
BetGenius

Our record in Premiership

58%39 won from 67 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + Celtic or Draw
76%
Both must land · no better than

Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

High-scoring affairs have defined this fixture, with 80 percent of the last ten head-to-head meetings producing over 2.5 goals at an average of 3.6 goals per game. Celtic have been potent on the road in the Premiership, averaging 2.7 goals scored per game across three away victories. Motherwell have shown defensive vulnerability by conceding seven goals in their last three league outings, including four at home against Aberdeen. With attacking contributors such as C. Duran, B. Nygren, and K. Hogh each tallying three league goals this campaign, the evidence supports another open contest that eclipses the 2.5 goal mark.

Celtic or Draw — 78% confidence

Celtic have compiled a strong domestic campaign with six wins from seven league games, including three wins from three on their travels. Motherwell have stumbled into a three-game losing skid in the Premiership and have won just one of their three home league fixtures. Celtic have dominated this match-up with eight victories from the last ten meetings, but recent losses in cup and European action alongside key squad absences make taking the double chance to cover the draw the most measured position.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Celtic or Draw
78%
Confidence

Celtic have compiled a strong domestic campaign with six wins from seven league games, including three wins from three on their travels. Motherwell have stumbled into a three-game losing skid in the Premiership and have won just one of their three home league fixtures. Celtic have dominated this match-up with eight victories from the last ten meetings, but recent losses in cup and European action alongside key squad absences make taking the double chance to cover the draw the most measured position.

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

High-scoring affairs have defined this fixture, with 80 percent of the last ten head-to-head meetings producing over 2.5 goals at an average of 3.6 goals per game. Celtic have been potent on the road in the Premiership, averaging 2.7 goals scored per game across three away victories. Motherwell have shown defensive vulnerability by conceding seven goals in their last three league outings, including four at home against Aberdeen. With attacking contributors such as C. Duran, B. Nygren, and K. Hogh each tallying three league goals this campaign, the evidence supports another open contest that eclipses the 2.5 goal mark.

GoalsLOST
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

The evidence points directly toward three or more goals rather than stopping at a lower count. Across the last 10 head-to-head meetings between Motherwell and Celtic, 80 percent produced over 2.5 goals, generating a robust average of 3.6 goals per match. Celtic are averaging 2.7 goals per game on their league travels this season, scoring eight times in three away fixtures. Motherwell have conceded 1.6 goals per game overall and have been breached multiple times in recent outings, including four against Aberdeen and two against Dundee. Because the head-to-head profile consistently clears the three-goal mark and Celtic possess the firepower to drive the total single-handedly against a struggling defence, the 2.5 line is materially supported.

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Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.