Liverpool have dominated head-to-head meetings, winning 8 of the last 10 fixtures against Newcastle, while remaining unbeaten in their last 5 trips to Newcastle (4 wins, 1 draw). Combined with Newcastle's recent form of just 1 win in their last 5 matches, Liverpool have a strong probability of securing at least a point.
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +3 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · +1 goal difference
Our verdict
StrongBetGenius backs Liverpool or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Newcastle host Liverpool in Premier League action, with both sides looking to find momentum in the early phase of the campaign. Newcastle enter this clash having won just one of their last five matches across all competitions, including a 1-1 draw against Strasbourg, a 1-2 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen, and a 1-3 loss to Everton. Defensive absences could pose challenges for the hosts, who are missing Joelinton, D. Burn, V. Livramento, and L. Miley due to injuries.
Liverpool travel north after a mixed recent run featuring two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five outings—most recently drawing 0-0 with Como following a 2-3 defeat to Monaco and a 2-4 loss against Leeds. The visitors are also navigating squad absences, with C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Gomez, and G. Leoni sidelined with injury concerns.
Historically, this fixture has heavily favoured Liverpool. Across the last 10 meetings between the two teams, Liverpool have secured 8 victories, with 1 draw and just 1 win for Newcastle. Furthermore, goals are typically frequent in this matchup, with past encounters averaging 3.6 goals per game and 70% exceeding the 2.5 goal mark.
Key factors
- Liverpool have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head encounters against Newcastle, with only 1 defeat.
- Newcastle have won only 1 of their last 5 fixtures (2-1 vs Valencia, 1-1 vs Strasbourg, 1-2 vs Bayer Leverkusen, 1-3 vs Everton, 1-4 vs Bristol City).
- Head-to-head fixtures have been high scoring, averaging 3.6 goals per game with 70% producing Over 2.5 goals.
- Newcastle are dealing with injuries to Joelinton, D. Burn, V. Livramento, and L. Miley.
- Liverpool are missing C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Gomez, and G. Leoni through injury.
Team news
Newcastle
- D. BurnAnkle Injury
- JoelintonInjury
- W. OsulaInjury
Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.
Liverpool
- C. BradleyKnee Injury
- F. ChiesaBack Injury
- H. EkitikeAchilles Tendon Injury
- W. EndoOff the roster
- J. GomezInjury
- G. LeoniKnee Injury
Statistical comparison
Newcastle at home vs Liverpool awayKey players this season
Newcastle
- A. Elanga2G
Liverpool
- A. Isak3G
- C. Gakpo3A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hull CityPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 | ChelseaPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 | BrentfordPromotion - Europa League (League phase) | 3 | +3 | 5 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 3 | +2 | 5 |
| 7 | Newcastle | 3 | +2 | 5 |
| 8 | Everton | 3 | +2 | 5 |
| 9 | Leeds | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 10 | Brighton | 3 | +3 | 4 |
Head-to-head
Full record →Liverpool have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.
- 2026-08-23Newcastle 2-2 Liverpool
- 2026-01-31Liverpool 4-1 Newcastle
- 2025-08-25Newcastle 2-3 Liverpool
- 2025-03-16Liverpool 1-2 Newcastle
- 2025-02-26Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle
Our record in Premier League
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
More from BetGenius
All Premier League predictions →Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.