BetGenius

Newcastle vs Liverpool prediction

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Kickoff
Sun, Aug 23, 03:30 PM
Round
Regular Season - 1
Venue
St James' Park, Newcastle
Referee
Stuart Attwell, England

Recent form

Newcastle
69Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +3 goal difference

Liverpool
58Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Liverpool or Draw
Confidence75%

BetGenius backs Liverpool or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Newcastle host Liverpool in Premier League action, with both sides looking to find momentum in the early phase of the campaign. Newcastle enter this clash having won just one of their last five matches across all competitions, including a 1-1 draw against Strasbourg, a 1-2 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen, and a 1-3 loss to Everton. Defensive absences could pose challenges for the hosts, who are missing Joelinton, D. Burn, V. Livramento, and L. Miley due to injuries.

Liverpool travel north after a mixed recent run featuring two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five outings—most recently drawing 0-0 with Como following a 2-3 defeat to Monaco and a 2-4 loss against Leeds. The visitors are also navigating squad absences, with C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Gomez, and G. Leoni sidelined with injury concerns.

Historically, this fixture has heavily favoured Liverpool. Across the last 10 meetings between the two teams, Liverpool have secured 8 victories, with 1 draw and just 1 win for Newcastle. Furthermore, goals are typically frequent in this matchup, with past encounters averaging 3.6 goals per game and 70% exceeding the 2.5 goal mark.

Key factors

  • Liverpool have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head encounters against Newcastle, with only 1 defeat.
  • Newcastle have won only 1 of their last 5 fixtures (2-1 vs Valencia, 1-1 vs Strasbourg, 1-2 vs Bayer Leverkusen, 1-3 vs Everton, 1-4 vs Bristol City).
  • Head-to-head fixtures have been high scoring, averaging 3.6 goals per game with 70% producing Over 2.5 goals.
  • Newcastle are dealing with injuries to Joelinton, D. Burn, V. Livramento, and L. Miley.
  • Liverpool are missing C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Gomez, and G. Leoni through injury.

Team news

Newcastle

  • D. BurnAnkle Injury
  • JoelintonInjury
  • W. OsulaInjury

Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Liverpool

  • C. BradleyKnee Injury
  • F. ChiesaBack Injury
  • H. EkitikeAchilles Tendon Injury
  • W. EndoOff the roster
  • J. GomezInjury
  • G. LeoniKnee Injury

Statistical comparison

Newcastle at home vs Liverpool away
1
Played
1-0-0
W-D-L
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Key players this season

Newcastle

  • A. Elanga2G

Liverpool

  • A. Isak3G
  • C. Gakpo3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
3Hull CityPromotion - Champions League (League phase)3+37
4ChelseaPromotion - Champions League (League phase)3+16
5BrentfordPromotion - Europa League (League phase)3+35
6Liverpool3+25
7Newcastle3+25
8Everton3+25
9Leeds3+15
10Brighton3+34

Head-to-head

Full record →
Newcastle
1
Draws
2
Liverpool
7

Liverpool have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-08-23Newcastle 2-2 Liverpool
  • 2026-01-31Liverpool 4-1 Newcastle
  • 2025-08-25Newcastle 2-3 Liverpool
  • 2025-03-16Liverpool 1-2 Newcastle
  • 2025-02-26Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle

Our record in Premier League

67%26 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Liverpool or Draw
Confidence75%

Liverpool have dominated head-to-head meetings, winning 8 of the last 10 fixtures against Newcastle, while remaining unbeaten in their last 5 trips to Newcastle (4 wins, 1 draw). Combined with Newcastle's recent form of just 1 win in their last 5 matches, Liverpool have a strong probability of securing at least a point.

More from BetGenius

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.