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Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn prediction

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Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 02:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 28

Recent form

Nõmme United
47Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -3 goal difference

Flora Tallinn
56Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Flora Tallinn or Draw
Confidence76%

BetGenius backs Flora Tallinn or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Nõmme United host Flora Tallinn at the Regular Season round 28 stage of the Meistriliiga. The hosts sit in eighth place on 28 points, having endured 17 defeats in their 27 league matches, while conceding 62 goals across the campaign. Despite a recent 2-1 away victory against Kalju Nomme, their defensive record remains vulnerable, having recorded zero clean sheets this season.

Flora Tallinn enter the match positioned second in the standings with 49 points, maintaining a 21-point advantage over their opponents. The visitors have demonstrated solid form away from home with eight wins from 12 road fixtures, netting 21 goals in the process while conceding 16.

Head-to-head history heavily favours Flora Tallinn, who have won six of the eight recorded encounters between the two clubs, including a decisive 4-0 away win at Nõmme United earlier this season. With Nõmme United struggling for defensive solidity and Flora chasing European qualification, the visitors are positioned to take points from this fixture.

Key factors

  • Flora Tallinn sit second in the league table with 49 points, 21 points ahead of eighth-placed Nõmme United.
  • Flora Tallinn have won six of the eight historical meetings between the two sides.
  • Nõmme United have kept zero clean sheets in 27 league matches this season, conceding 62 goals.
  • Flora Tallinn possess an away record of eight wins and four defeats across 12 road matches.
  • Nõmme United have suffered nine losses in 13 home league fixtures.

Statistical comparison

Nõmme United at home vs Flora Tallinn away
13
Played
12
4-0-9
W-D-L
8-0-4
2
Scored /game
1.8
2.1
Conceded /game
1.3
0%
Clean sheets
33%
15%
Failed to score
17%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
100%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 3.8 goals per game (Nõmme United at home plus Flora Tallinn away).

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)26+5065
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)27+1849
3PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)26+945
4Kalju Nomme27+2144
5Tammeka26-441
6Vaprus26-1134
7Laagri27-831
8Nõmme United27-1828
9KuressaareMeistriliiga (Relegation)27-1628
10Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga27-4118

Head-to-head

Full record →
Nõmme United
1
Draws
1
Flora Tallinn
6

Flora Tallinn have won 6 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, 63% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-07-17Flora Tallinn 1-2 Nõmme United
  • 2026-05-29Nõmme United 0-4 Flora Tallinn
  • 2026-03-10Flora Tallinn 3-1 Nõmme United
  • 2026-03-07Flora Tallinn 3-0 Nõmme United
  • 2024-10-05Nõmme United 0-4 Flora Tallinn

Our record in Meistriliiga

54%15 won from 28 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

Featured
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Flora Tallinn or Draw
Confidence76%

Flora Tallinn hold second place with 16 wins from 26 matches, backed by eight victories in 12 away trips. In head-to-head meetings, Flora have won six of the eight clashes against Nõmme United. Nõmme United have lost nine of their 13 home games and have not kept a single clean sheet across 27 league outings, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game on home soil. Backing Flora to win or draw covers potential away variance while reflecting their superior league standing and head-to-head dominance.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.