BetGenius

Norwich vs Burnley prediction

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Kickoff
Sat, Aug 29, 02:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 3
Venue
Carrow Road, Norwich
Referee
Elliot Bell, England

Recent form

Norwich
63Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Burnley
23Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -6 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Burnley or Draw
Confidence74%

BetGenius backs Burnley or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Norwich City host Burnley at Carrow Road in Round 3 of the Championship season, with both sides seeking their first league victory of the campaign. Norwich find themselves in 23rd place after opening their season with back-to-back defeats—falling 1-2 at home to West Bromwich Albion and 0-3 away to Millwall—leaving them with zero points and five goals conceded in two outings.

Burnley enter the fixture in 18th position with one point from their opening two matches, having drawn 2-2 with West Ham before suffering a 1-3 defeat on the road against West Brom. Scott Parker's side will look to build on a dominant recent head-to-head record against Norwich, having won the last four consecutive encounters between the two clubs across all competitions.

With both defensive units conceding an average of 2.5 goals per match in the early stages of the league season and both sides managing significant injury lists, this matchup presents an opportunity for Burnley to extend their positive head-to-head run against a struggling Canaries side.

Key factors

  • Burnley have won the last four consecutive head-to-head meetings against Norwich across all competitions.
  • Norwich have started the Championship season with two straight losses, conceding five goals across 180 minutes.
  • Both teams have conceded an average of 2.50 goals per game in league play this season.
  • Across nine recorded head-to-head fixtures, Burnley have claimed six victories compared to Norwich's two.
  • Norwich are dealing with multiple confirmed absences, including A. Ahmed, A. Crnac, L. Gibbs, L. Mahovo, and J. Makama.

Team news

Norwich

  • A. AhmedKnee Injury
  • L. MahovoAnkle Injury
  • M. TopicKnee Injury
  • J. MakamaFoot Injury

Burnley

  • E. AgyeiInjury
  • J. BanelInjury
  • A. BarnesInjury
  • J. BeyerHamstring Injury
  • J. CullenKnee Injury
  • D. SatpaevHamstring Injury
  • L. FosterInactive
  • B. HumphreysInactive
  • Lucas PiresInactive

Statistical comparison

Norwich at home vs Burnley away
2
Played
2
1-0-1
W-D-L
0-0-2
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Key players this season

Norwich

  • M. Touré3G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
13Wrexham6+27
14Birmingham5+17
15Stoke City6-17
16Norwich506
17Portsmouth5-16
18Blackburn6-25
19Lincoln5-25
20Cardiff6-34
21Derby5-54
22BoltonRelegation - League One6-64
23BurnleyRelegation - League One6-63
24PrestonRelegation - League One6-63

Head-to-head

Full record →
Norwich
3
Draws
1
Burnley
6

Burnley have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game.

  • 2026-08-29Norwich 4-1 Burnley
  • 2025-04-11Burnley 2-1 Norwich
  • 2024-12-15Norwich 1-2 Burnley
  • 2023-02-04Norwich 0-3 Burnley
  • 2022-10-25Burnley 1-0 Norwich

Our record in Championship

63%52 won from 82 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Burnley or Draw
Confidence74%

Burnley hold a substantial historical edge in this matchup, winning six of the last nine head-to-head meetings, including each of the last four fixtures between the two sides. Norwich have had a difficult start to the Championship campaign, suffering two defeats from two matches while conceding five goals and scoring only once. Backing Burnley in the Double Chance market provides robust coverage across both an away victory and a shared result.

More from BetGenius

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Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.