BetGenius

Paide vs Nõmme United prediction

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Kickoff
Sun, Aug 23, 02:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 24
Venue
Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Referee
J. Lorenz

Recent form

Paide
54Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Nõmme United
38Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -2 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Match Winner
Pick
Paide to win
Confidence76%

BetGenius backs Paide to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Paide enter this Meistriliiga fixture sitting in 4th place with 36 points from 22 matches, looking to keep pace with the European qualification spots. They have established strong form at home this season, registering 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, while conceding just 0.9 goals per game on home soil.

Nõmme United find themselves in 7th position with 25 points from 23 matches, having suffered 14 league defeats. Their defensive record remains a major concern, particularly on the road, where they concede an average of 2.6 goals per game and have kept zero clean sheets across their 11 away fixtures.

Head-to-head history overwhelmingly favours the hosts. Paide have won all 7 recorded encounters against Nõmme United, including both league meetings earlier in 2026 by 3-1 and 3-2 scorelines. With superior defensive stability and a perfect record in this fixture, Paide are strongly positioned to claim maximum points.

Key factors

  • Paide have won all 7 previous meetings against Nõmme United, including 3-1 and 3-2 victories earlier in 2026.
  • Nõmme United have kept 0 clean sheets in 11 away league fixtures, conceding 2.6 goals per game on the road.
  • Paide boast a solid home record with 6 wins from 10 matches and only 0.9 goals conceded per home fixture.
  • Historical meetings between these two sides have seen an average of 4.43 goals per game, with over 2.5 goals landing in 85.7% of clashes.

Statistical comparison

Paide at home vs Nõmme United away
12
Played
13
7-1-4
W-D-L
4-1-8
1.4
Scored /game
1.2
1
Conceded /game
2.6
33%
Clean sheets
0%
17%
Failed to score
23%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Paide at home plus Nõmme United away).

Key players this season

Paide

  • Daniel Cabral5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)25+4662
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)27+1849
3Kalju NommePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)27+2144
4Paide25+742
5Tammeka25-241
6Laagri26-731
7Vaprus25-1231
8Nõmme United27-1828
9KuressaareMeistriliiga (Relegation)26-1228
10Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga27-4118

Head-to-head

Full record →
Paide
8
Draws
0
Nõmme United
0

Paide have won 8 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 4.5 goals a game, both teams scored in 63% of them.

  • 2026-08-23Paide 4-1 Nõmme United
  • 2026-05-10Nõmme United 2-3 Paide
  • 2026-04-08Paide 3-1 Nõmme United
  • 2024-11-03Nõmme United 0-4 Paide
  • 2024-09-14Paide 7-2 Nõmme United

Our record in Meistriliiga

48%12 won from 25 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Match Winner
Pick
Paide to win
Confidence76%

Paide hold a 100% win rate across all 7 historical head-to-head meetings against Nõmme United. Additionally, Nõmme United have conceded 29 goals in 11 away games and have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home this season.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.