Paide hold a 100% win rate across all 7 historical head-to-head meetings against Nõmme United. Additionally, Nõmme United have conceded 29 goals in 11 away games and have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home this season.
Paide vs Nõmme United prediction
Checking status…Recent form
Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -2 goal difference
Our verdict
StrongBetGenius backs Paide to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Paide enter this Meistriliiga fixture sitting in 4th place with 36 points from 22 matches, looking to keep pace with the European qualification spots. They have established strong form at home this season, registering 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, while conceding just 0.9 goals per game on home soil.
Nõmme United find themselves in 7th position with 25 points from 23 matches, having suffered 14 league defeats. Their defensive record remains a major concern, particularly on the road, where they concede an average of 2.6 goals per game and have kept zero clean sheets across their 11 away fixtures.
Head-to-head history overwhelmingly favours the hosts. Paide have won all 7 recorded encounters against Nõmme United, including both league meetings earlier in 2026 by 3-1 and 3-2 scorelines. With superior defensive stability and a perfect record in this fixture, Paide are strongly positioned to claim maximum points.
Key factors
- Paide have won all 7 previous meetings against Nõmme United, including 3-1 and 3-2 victories earlier in 2026.
- Nõmme United have kept 0 clean sheets in 11 away league fixtures, conceding 2.6 goals per game on the road.
- Paide boast a solid home record with 6 wins from 10 matches and only 0.9 goals conceded per home fixture.
- Historical meetings between these two sides have seen an average of 4.43 goals per game, with over 2.5 goals landing in 85.7% of clashes.
Statistical comparison
Paide at home vs Nõmme United awayCombined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Paide at home plus Nõmme United away).
Key players this season
Paide
- Daniel Cabral5G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification) | 25 | +46 | 62 |
| 2 | Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 27 | +18 | 49 |
| 3 | Kalju NommePromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 27 | +21 | 44 |
| 4 | Paide | 25 | +7 | 42 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 25 | -2 | 41 |
| 6 | Laagri | 26 | -7 | 31 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 25 | -12 | 31 |
| 8 | Nõmme United | 27 | -18 | 28 |
| 9 | KuressaareMeistriliiga (Relegation) | 26 | -12 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga | 27 | -41 | 18 |
Head-to-head
Full record →Paide have won 8 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 4.5 goals a game, both teams scored in 63% of them.
- 2026-08-23Paide 4-1 Nõmme United
- 2026-05-10Nõmme United 2-3 Paide
- 2026-04-08Paide 3-1 Nõmme United
- 2024-11-03Nõmme United 0-4 Paide
- 2024-09-14Paide 7-2 Nõmme United
Our record in Meistriliiga
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.