BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 24
Venue
Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Referee
J. Lorenz
Form

Recent form

Paide
60Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Nõmme United
42Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Paide to win

BetGenius backs Paide to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Paide enter this Meistriliiga fixture sitting in 4th place with 36 points from 22 matches, looking to keep pace with the European qualification spots. They have established strong form at home this season, registering 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, while conceding just 0.9 goals per game on home soil.

Nõmme United find themselves in 7th position with 25 points from 23 matches, having suffered 14 league defeats. Their defensive record remains a major concern, particularly on the road, where they concede an average of 2.6 goals per game and have kept zero clean sheets across their 11 away fixtures.

Head-to-head history overwhelmingly favours the hosts. Paide have won all 7 recorded encounters against Nõmme United, including both league meetings earlier in 2026 by 3-1 and 3-2 scorelines. With superior defensive stability and a perfect record in this fixture, Paide are strongly positioned to claim maximum points.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Paide have won all 7 previous meetings against Nõmme United, including 3-1 and 3-2 victories earlier in 2026.
  2. Nõmme United have kept 0 clean sheets in 11 away league fixtures, conceding 2.6 goals per game on the road.
  3. Paide boast a solid home record with 6 wins from 10 matches and only 0.9 goals conceded per home fixture.
  4. Historical meetings between these two sides have seen an average of 4.43 goals per game, with over 2.5 goals landing in 85.7% of clashes.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Paide at homeNõmme United away
14
Played
14
8-1-5
W-D-L
5-1-8
1.4
Scored /game
1.3
1
Conceded /game
2.5
36%
Clean sheets
0%
14%
Failed to score
21%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.7 goals per game (Paide at home plus Nõmme United away).

Players

Key players this season

Paide

  • Daniel Cabral5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)32+6581
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)33+1658
3PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)32+1357
4Kalju Nomme32+2151
5Tammeka33-550
6Laagri33047
7Vaprus33-2236
8Kuressaare32-1735
9Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga (Relegation)33-2234
10Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga33-4920
History

Head-to-head

9
Paide
0
Draws
0
Nõmme United

Paide have won 9 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 4.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 67% of them.

  • 2026-09-19Nõmme United1-3Paide
  • 2026-08-23Paide4-1Nõmme United
  • 2026-05-10Nõmme United2-3Paide
  • 2026-04-08Paide3-1Nõmme United
  • 2024-11-03Nõmme United0-4Paide
BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
Paide to win
76%
Confidence

Paide hold a 100% win rate across all 7 historical head-to-head meetings against Nõmme United. Additionally, Nõmme United have conceded 29 goals in 11 away games and have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home this season.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.