Paide have demonstrated consistent home form with seven wins and just one draw from 12 league games on home turf, conceding only 12 goals in that stretch. In contrast, Vaprus have lost eight of their 13 away matches and allow an average of 2.3 goals per game on the road. Paide have also won five of the six past encounters against Vaprus played at their home ground, making them well positioned to secure at least a point.
- Round
- Regular Season - 22
- Venue
- Paide linnastaadion, Paide
- Referee
- K. Kaivoja
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -5 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Paide or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Paide welcome Vaprus to their home ground aiming to tighten their grip on fourth place in the Meistriliiga standings. The hosts enter this fixture on 45 points, having picked up seven victories from their 12 home matches this campaign while maintaining a sturdy defensive record that concedes an average of just 1.0 goal per game in front of their own supporters.
Vaprus sit seventh in the table with 34 points from 27 fixtures, but their away form has been a major vulnerability throughout the season. Having suffered eight defeats in 13 road outings while conceding 30 goals on their travels, they face a challenging task against an opponent that has traditionally held the upper hand in this match-up.
Head-to-head encounters heavily lean towards Paide, who have won seven of the last ten meetings between the two clubs across all competitions, including five of the six staged at Paide. With the hosts looking to build momentum and Vaprus struggling to keep things tight away from home, Paide have the platform to control proceedings.
Key factors
- Paide have won five of their six home matches against Vaprus across their last ten head-to-head meetings.
- Vaprus have struggled on their travels, suffering eight defeats in 13 away fixtures while conceding 30 goals.
- Paide hold a solid home defensive record, conceding an average of 1.0 goal per game across 12 home league matches.
- Vaprus concede an average of 2.3 goals per away match in the league this season.
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Paide at home plus Vaprus away).
Key players this season
Paide
- Daniel Cabral5G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification) | 32 | +65 | 81 |
| 2 | Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 33 | +16 | 58 |
| 3 | PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 32 | +13 | 57 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 32 | +21 | 51 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 33 | -5 | 50 |
| 6 | Laagri | 33 | 0 | 47 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 33 | -22 | 36 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 32 | -17 | 35 |
| 9 | Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga (Relegation) | 33 | -22 | 34 |
| 10 | Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga | 33 | -49 | 20 |
Head-to-head
- 7
- Paide
- 0
- Draws
- 3
- Vaprus
Paide have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.2 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.
- 2026-07-04Paide3-1Vaprus
- 2026-05-06Paide2-0Vaprus
- 2026-03-07Vaprus3-2Paide
- 2025-11-02Paide3-0Vaprus
- 2025-08-30Vaprus1-0Paide
Our record in Meistriliiga
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published September 14, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

