BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
Referee
A. D. Livesey
Form

Recent form

Penybont
79Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +3 goal difference

Colwyn Bay
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Penybont or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Penybont or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 66% confidence — a solid call.

66%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Penybont sit seventh in the Premier League with 12 points from six games, remaining unbeaten. Their recent five matches have produced three wins and two draws, showing solid consistency both at home and away. Colwyn Bay occupy eighth place with 10 points, having won all three of their home games but failing to win away, recording two defeats and a draw on the road.

Penybont’s form has been impressive, scoring in each of their last five fixtures and keeping a respectable defensive record of 0.7 goals conceded per home game. Colwyn Bay, while dominant at home, have struggled away, managing just one goal while conceding ten in three away outings. The contrast in away form suggests Penybont have a clear advantage on their own turf.

Historically the two sides have met nine times, with the most recent two meetings ending 0‑0 draws. Overall the head‑to‑head record is tight (Penybont three wins, Colwyn Bay four wins, two draws), but Penybont now enjoy home advantage and the trend points toward a low‑scoring contest that could still produce multiple goals given both teams’ recent high‑scoring games.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Penybont at homeColwyn Bay away
5
Played
5
3-2-0
W-D-L
1-1-3
1.4
Scored /game
1.6
0.8
Conceded /game
2.2
40%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
Failed to score
40%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Penybont at home plus Colwyn Bay away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1The New SaintsPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+4740
2GAP Connah S Quay FCPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+2131
3PenybontPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+1430
4Caernarfon TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+2429
5Colwyn BayPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+726
6Barry TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+525
7Airbus UKPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)14+824
8Cardiff METPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)14+822
History

Head-to-head

4
Penybont
2
Draws
4
Colwyn Bay

the last 10 meetings are split 4-4 with 2 drawn, averaging 2.7 goals a game.

  • 2026-09-05Penybont1-0Colwyn Bay
  • 2026-04-25Colwyn Bay0-0Penybont
  • 2026-03-28Penybont0-0Colwyn Bay
  • 2026-02-21Colwyn Bay3-1Penybont
  • 2025-11-29Colwyn Bay5-4Penybont
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

64%59 won from 92 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Penybont or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Both must land · no better than

Penybont or Draw — 78% confidence

Penybont are unbeaten and have a strong home record, while Colwyn Bay have failed to win away and concede heavily on the road. The combination of Penybont’s consistency and Colwyn Bay’s vulnerability makes a Penybont win or a draw the most probable outcome.

Over 2.5 Goals — 66% confidence

Across the nine head‑to‑head meetings, over 2.5 goals occurred in 55% of games. Both sides have been involved in high‑scoring recent matches, and Penybont’s away scoring average (2.3) suggests they can add goals even when playing at home.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Confidence

Across the nine head‑to‑head meetings, over 2.5 goals occurred in 55% of games. Both sides have been involved in high‑scoring recent matches, and Penybont’s away scoring average (2.3) suggests they can add goals even when playing at home.

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
Confidence

Both teams have featured in several both‑teams‑to‑score fixtures recently, and the historical BTTS rate in their meetings is 44%. Penybont’s recent games have often seen the opponent score, while Colwyn Bay have scored in half of their last five matches, supporting a BTTS outcome.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Penybont or Draw
78%
Confidence

Penybont are unbeaten and have a strong home record, while Colwyn Bay have failed to win away and concede heavily on the road. The combination of Penybont’s consistency and Colwyn Bay’s vulnerability makes a Penybont win or a draw the most probable outcome.

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Published September 3, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.