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Penybont vs Colwyn Bay prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5, 11:30 AM
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
Referee
A. D. Livesey

Recent form

Penybont
71Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +5 goal difference

Colwyn Bay
51Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -4 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Penybont or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence66%

BetGenius backs Penybont or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 66% confidence — a solid call.

Match preview

Penybont sit seventh in the Premier League with 12 points from six games, remaining unbeaten. Their recent five matches have produced three wins and two draws, showing solid consistency both at home and away. Colwyn Bay occupy eighth place with 10 points, having won all three of their home games but failing to win away, recording two defeats and a draw on the road.

Penybont’s form has been impressive, scoring in each of their last five fixtures and keeping a respectable defensive record of 0.7 goals conceded per home game. Colwyn Bay, while dominant at home, have struggled away, managing just one goal while conceding ten in three away outings. The contrast in away form suggests Penybont have a clear advantage on their own turf.

Historically the two sides have met nine times, with the most recent two meetings ending 0‑0 draws. Overall the head‑to‑head record is tight (Penybont three wins, Colwyn Bay four wins, two draws), but Penybont now enjoy home advantage and the trend points toward a low‑scoring contest that could still produce multiple goals given both teams’ recent high‑scoring games.

Statistical comparison

Penybont at home vs Colwyn Bay away
3
Played
3
1-2-0
W-D-L
0-1-2
1
Scored /game
1
0.7
Conceded /game
3.3
Clean sheets
Failed to score
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (Penybont at home plus Colwyn Bay away).

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
3GAP Connah S Quay FCPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)7+1316
4Caernarfon TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)7+915
5LlandudnoPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)7+815
6PenybontPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)7+615
7Cardiff METPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)7+913
8Airbus UKPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)7+412
9Colwyn BayPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)7-310
10Cambrian & ClydachPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)709
11Briton FerryCymru Premier (Relegation Group)7-77
12Haverfordwest County AFCCymru Premier (Relegation Group)7-104

Head-to-head

Full record →
Penybont
4
Draws
2
Colwyn Bay
4

the last 10 meetings are split 4-4 with 2 drawn, averaging 2.7 goals a game.

  • 2026-09-05Penybont 1-0 Colwyn Bay
  • 2026-04-25Colwyn Bay 0-0 Penybont
  • 2026-03-28Penybont 0-0 Colwyn Bay
  • 2026-02-21Colwyn Bay 3-1 Penybont
  • 2025-11-29Colwyn Bay 5-4 Penybont

Our record in Premier League

58%22 won from 38 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

4 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Penybont or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence66%

Penybont or Draw — 78% confidence

Penybont are unbeaten and have a strong home record, while Colwyn Bay have failed to win away and concede heavily on the road. The combination of Penybont’s consistency and Colwyn Bay’s vulnerability makes a Penybont win or a draw the most probable outcome.

Over 2.5 Goals — 66% confidence

Across the nine head‑to‑head meetings, over 2.5 goals occurred in 55% of games. Both sides have been involved in high‑scoring recent matches, and Penybont’s away scoring average (2.3) suggests they can add goals even when playing at home.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Market
Total Goals
Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence66%

Across the nine head‑to‑head meetings, over 2.5 goals occurred in 55% of games. Both sides have been involved in high‑scoring recent matches, and Penybont’s away scoring average (2.3) suggests they can add goals even when playing at home.

Combo BetLOST
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
Yes
Confidence60%

Both teams have featured in several both‑teams‑to‑score fixtures recently, and the historical BTTS rate in their meetings is 44%. Penybont’s recent games have often seen the opponent score, while Colwyn Bay have scored in half of their last five matches, supporting a BTTS outcome.

Combo BetWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Penybont or Draw
Confidence78%

Penybont are unbeaten and have a strong home record, while Colwyn Bay have failed to win away and concede heavily on the road. The combination of Penybont’s consistency and Colwyn Bay’s vulnerability makes a Penybont win or a draw the most probable outcome.

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Published September 3, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.