BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Referee
Daniel Siebert, Germany
Form

Recent form

RB Leipzig
34Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -3 goal difference

Eintracht Frankfurt
65Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw

BetGenius backs RB Leipzig or Draw (Double Chance) at 77% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

77%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Ninth meets tenth in the Bundesliga as RB Leipzig host Eintracht Frankfurt, with just one point separating the sides after four rounds of fixtures. Leipzig have experienced contrasting fortunes depending on venue, maintaining a perfect home record with two wins from two while failing to take a point on their travels.

Eintracht Frankfurt have proven to be one of the division's most open sides in the early weeks. They enter this fixture with nine goals scored and ten conceded across four matches, having failed to record a clean sheet so far. However, their away form has yielded four points from two trips, including a 3-1 victory at FSV Mainz 05 and a 3-3 draw at Union Berlin.

Leipzig hold a substantial historical edge in this fixture, having won six of the last ten meetings across all competitions, including five of seven encounters staged on home turf. With Frankfurt vulnerable defensively and Leipzig yet to concede a goal at home, the hosts hold the upper hand heading into kickoff.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. RB Leipzig have won both home league fixtures this season by aggregate score of 8-0.
  2. Eintracht Frankfurt have failed to keep a clean sheet in all four league matches, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game.
  3. Head-to-head history heavily favours Leipzig, who have won six of the last ten encounters overall and five of seven at home.
  4. Frankfurt remain dangerous going forward, scoring nine goals in four matches, led by Y. Ebnoutalib with four goals.
  5. Eintracht Frankfurt have conceded four goals across their two away fixtures, highlighting ongoing defensive vulnerabilities.
Availability

Team news

RB Leipzig

  • M. GuiuHamstring Injury
  • A. OuedraogoShoulder Injury

Eintracht Frankfurt

  • J. NgankamHamstring Injury
  • M. PimpongMuscle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

RB Leipzig at homeEintracht Frankfurt away
3
Played
3
3-0-0
W-D-L
1-1-1
4.7
Scored /game
2
0
Conceded /game
3.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 6.7 goals per game (RB Leipzig at home plus Eintracht Frankfurt away).

Players

Key players this season

RB Leipzig

  • C. Nkunku4G
  • A. Nusa3A

Eintracht Frankfurt

  • Y. Ebnoutalib5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4Bayer LeverkusenChampions League league stage6+713
5FSV Mainz 05Europa League league stage6+410
6SV ElversbergQualifying6+110
7RB Leipzig6+59
8Werder Bremen609
9Hamburger SV6-99
10FC Augsburg6+48
11Eintracht Frankfurt6-68
121. FC Köln6-37
131899 Hoffenheim6-36
14VfB Stuttgart7-36
History

Head-to-head

7
RB Leipzig
1
Draws
2
Eintracht Frankfurt

RB Leipzig have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.6 goals a game, 80% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-10RB Leipzig6-0Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 2026-04-18Eintracht Frankfurt1-3RB Leipzig
  • 2025-12-06RB Leipzig6-0Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 2025-04-26Eintracht Frankfurt4-0RB Leipzig
  • 2024-12-15RB Leipzig2-1Eintracht Frankfurt
BetGenius

Our record in Bundesliga

66%52 won from 79 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
77%
Confidence

RB Leipzig have been formidable at home in the league this season, recording commanding victories against Borussia Monchengladbach (3-0) and Hamburger SV (5-0) without conceding. Although absences to creative options such as C. Baumgartner and B. Gruda reduce depth, Leipzig still possess key playmakers in A. Nusa and T. Gomis, who both hold two assists. Eintracht Frankfurt pose an attacking threat through Y. Ebnoutalib (4 goals) and J. Burkardt (3 goals), but their defense has conceded ten goals in four outings and kept zero clean sheets. Leipzig have also dominated recent head-to-head fixtures at home, winning five of seven meetings. Backing the hosts to take at least a point covers the probability of Frankfurt snatching a draw while leaning into Leipzig's strong domestic venue performance.

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Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.