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Sun 13 Sept · 20:00

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid prediction

Follow Real SociedadFollow Atletico MadridFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
Anoeta, San Sebastian
Referee
Juan Martinez Munuera, Spain

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Real Sociedad
78Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +9 goal difference

Atletico Madrid
80Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Atletico Madrid or Draw

BetGenius backs Atletico Madrid or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Real Sociedad welcome Atletico Madrid to the Reale Arena with both teams locked on seven points in the early La Liga standings. The hosts enter the contest following a 3-2 away victory over Elche, continuing a steady domestic run that includes an unbeaten home record of one win and one draw from their opening two fixtures in front of their supporters.

Atletico Madrid travel following back-to-back away defeats across all competitions against Athletic Club and Liverpool, but their league campaign remains solid with seven points from four outings. Álex Baena leads the visitors with three goals this term, though Diego Simeone's side will have to manage without forward A. Sorloth due to a muscle injury.

Head-to-head history heavily tilts towards the visitors, with Atletico Madrid undefeated in their previous nine encounters against Real Sociedad across all competitions, recording five victories and four draws. With Real Sociedad missing J. Martin through suspension alongside injured pair A. Odriozola and P. Marin, Atletico hold a distinct historical advantage heading into this clash.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last nine meetings against Real Sociedad, recording five wins and four draws.
  2. Real Sociedad have conceded just one goal across their two home league fixtures this season.
  3. Álex Baena is the primary scoring threat for Atletico Madrid with three goals in the current campaign.
  4. Real Sociedad are missing J. Martin due to suspension, as well as A. Odriozola and P. Marin through injury.
  5. Atletico Madrid will be without forward A. Sorloth because of a muscle problem.
Availability

Team news

Real Sociedad

  • J. AramburuLeg Injury
  • L. BeitiaAnkle Injury
  • A. OdriozolaKnee Injury
  • Y. HerreraCalf Injury

Atletico Madrid

  • J. CardosoThigh Injury
  • KokeMuscle Injury
  • C. RomeroMuscle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Real Sociedad at homeAtletico Madrid away
4
Played
5
2-1-1
W-D-L
4-0-1
1.3
Scored /game
1.8
1.5
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
40%
—
Failed to score
20%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Real Sociedad at home plus Atletico Madrid away).

Players

Key players this season

Atletico Madrid

  • Álex Baena5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1BarcelonaPromotion - Champions League (League phase)9+3027
2Atletico MadridPromotion - Champions League (League phase)9+1122
3Real MadridPromotion - Champions League (League phase)9+1421
4Real BetisPromotion - Champions League (League phase)9+219
5Real SociedadPromotion - Europa League (League phase)9016
6SevillaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)9-214
7Alaves10+312
8Celta Vigo9+311
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
0
Real Sociedad
4
Draws
5
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid have won 5 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, both teams scored in 67% of them.

  • 2026-04-18Atletico Madrid2-2Real Sociedad
  • 2026-03-07Atletico Madrid3-2Real Sociedad
  • 2026-01-04Real Sociedad1-1Atletico Madrid
  • 2025-05-10Atletico Madrid4-0Real Sociedad
  • 2024-10-06Real Sociedad1-1Atletico Madrid
BetGenius

Our record in La Liga

74%92 won from 125 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Atletico Madrid or Draw
74%
Confidence

Atletico Madrid possess a commanding recent record in this fixture, having avoided defeat in all nine previous meetings against Real Sociedad with five wins and four draws. Real Sociedad have been solid at home with only one goal conceded in two matches, which keeps the likelihood of a tight contest high, but their defensive absences and inability to defeat Atletico in recent history make the away double chance a well-supported outcome.

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Published September 12, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.