BetGenius

Santos vs Mirassol prediction

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Kickoff
Sun, Aug 23, 09:30 PM
Round
Regular Season - 24
Venue
Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Referee
Edina Alves Batista, Brazil

Recent form

Santos
50Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · -2 goal difference

Mirassol
31Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -6 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Match Winner
Pick
Santos to win
Confidence64%

BetGenius backs Santos to win (Match Winner) at 64% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Santos host Mirassol at the Vila Belmiro in a crucial bottom-half Serie A clash. Santos enter the round in 14th position on 25 points, looking to pull further away from the relegation zone. The hosts have demonstrated solid home consistency in this specific fixture, remaining unbeaten across five previous home meetings against Mirassol with four victories and one draw.

Mirassol sit 17th with 23 points, currently occupying a relegation spot. Their struggles have been exacerbated on the road, where they have managed just one victory in 10 away league fixtures, recording seven defeats while conceding 17 goals and failing to keep a clean sheet. In addition, the visitors face squad depth challenges with Denilson suspended and multiple fitness concerns including Jose Aldo, Negueba, and Edson Carioca.

With Santos spearheaded in attack by Gabriel Barbosa (8 goals) and Mirassol struggling for form away from home, the hosts hold a distinct tactical and psychological advantage heading into this encounter.

Key factors

  • Santos are undefeated at home against Mirassol in head-to-head history (4 wins, 1 draw).
  • Mirassol have lost 7 of their 10 away league games this season, earning only 5 points on the road.
  • Mirassol have failed to register an away clean sheet in the league (0 in 10 matches).
  • Mirassol will be missing suspended midfielder Denilson alongside injured players Jose Aldo, Negueba, and Edson Carioca.
  • Gabriel Barbosa leads Santos' attack with 8 league goals.

Team news

Santos

  • Gabriel MeninoKnee Injury
  • Gustavo HenriqueThigh Injury
  • Pepe FerminoMuscle Injury
  • Vinicius LiraKnee Injury
  • A. BarrealYellow Cards
  • Lucas VerissimoYellow Cards

Mirassol

  • Edson CariocaInjury
  • Jose AldoMuscle Injury
  • NeguebaKnee Injury
  • WalterInjury

Statistical comparison

Santos at home vs Mirassol away
13
Played
12
5-4-4
W-D-L
1-3-8
1.4
Scored /game
0.8
1.3
Conceded /game
1.7
23%
Clean sheets
0%
15%
Failed to score
42%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Santos at home plus Mirassol away).

Key players this season

Santos

  • Gabriel Barbosa10G

Mirassol

  • Igor Formiga4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
10Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)25+333
11VitoriaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26-1232
12Corinthians26032
13Santos25-132
14Botafogo25-331
15Gremio25-628
16Mirassol26-1128
17Vasco DA GamaRelegation - Serie B25-1325
18InternacionalRelegation - Serie B26-625
19RemoRelegation - Serie B26-1323

Head-to-head

Full record →
Santos
3
Draws
4
Mirassol
2

Santos have won 3 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 78% of them.

  • 2026-03-11Mirassol 2-2 Santos
  • 2025-11-20Santos 1-1 Mirassol
  • 2025-07-19Mirassol 3-0 Santos
  • 2025-01-17Santos 2-1 Mirassol
  • 2024-10-12Santos 3-2 Mirassol

Our record in Serie A

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Match Winner
Pick
Santos to win
Confidence64%

Santos hold a strong historical home record against Mirassol, winning four and drawing one of their five home head-to-head meetings. In contrast, Mirassol have lost seven of their 10 away league fixtures this season and remain without a clean sheet on the road.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.