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EliteserienEliteserien
17:00
Sun 25 Oct

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund prediction

Follow Sarpsborg 08 FFFollow AalesundFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 12
Venue
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg
Referee
Mischa Kellerhals

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Sarpsborg 08 FF
49Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Aalesund
63Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Sarpsborg 08 FF host Aalesund in Eliteserien just two weeks after the two sides met in the reverse fixture, where Sarpsborg secured an entertaining 4-2 victory on the road. The hosts currently sit tenth in the table with 28 points from 23 matches, looking to rebound from a 3-0 home defeat against Rosenborg.

Aalesund enter this fixture placed fourteenth in the relegation play-off position with 24 points. While their defensive record has been fragile, conceding 51 goals in 23 matches, they have remained potent in attack, scoring 39 times. Recent weeks have seen high-scoring encounters across all competitions for Aalesund, including a 4-1 away win over Kristiansund BK and a 2-1 away victory against Molde.

With both teams displaying defensive vulnerabilities throughout the campaign and an extensive history of high-scoring head-to-head fixtures, this matchup points toward an open contest with regular chances at both ends.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Aalesund have conceded 51 goals in 23 league matches, averaging 2.2 goals conceded per game.
  2. The reverse fixture played on October 11 produced six goals in a 4-2 win for Sarpsborg 08.
  3. Aalesund have failed to keep a clean sheet in all eleven away league matches this season.
  4. Eight of the last ten head-to-head meetings between Sarpsborg 08 and Aalesund have finished with over 2.5 goals.
  5. Aalesund top scorer M. Christensen has recorded nine league goals this season.
Availability

Team news

Sarpsborg 08 FF

  • F. CarstensenInjury
  • M. OpokuAnkle Injury

Aalesund

  • H. HammerInjury
  • S. HaramElbow Injury
  • P. AuklandInjury
  • A. KjelsenInjury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Sarpsborg 08 FF at homeAalesund away
11
Played
11
4-3-4
W-D-L
3-3-5
1.1
Scored /game
1.4
1.4
Conceded /game
1.9
18%
Clean sheets
0%
18%
Failed to score
18%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
100%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 2.5 goals per game (Sarpsborg 08 FF at home plus Aalesund away).

Players

Key players this season

Aalesund

  • M. Christensen9G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
7Brann23+329
8Fredrikstad23-829
9KFUM Oslo23-929
10Sarpsborg 08 FF23-628
11Valerenga23-826
12Ham-Kam23-1526
13Sandefjord23-824
14AalesundEliteserien (Relegation)23-1224
15Kristiansund BKRelegation - OBOS-ligaen23-2419
16StartRelegation - OBOS-ligaen23-2916
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
7
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
Draws
2
Aalesund

Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-10-11Aalesund2-4Sarpsborg 08 FF
  • 2023-10-22Aalesund3-2Sarpsborg 08 FF
  • 2023-05-29Sarpsborg 08 FF3-1Aalesund
  • 2022-09-11Aalesund1-3Sarpsborg 08 FF
  • 2022-05-22Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2Aalesund
BetGenius

Our record in Eliteserien

83%57 won from 69 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

Aalesund matches have been among the most open in the division, averaging nearly four total goals per game across 23 league rounds with 39 goals scored and 51 conceded. The visitors have managed only one clean sheet all season and none away from home, while failing to score in just two of their eleven away trips. Sarpsborg 08 have also shown defensive frailties, conceding 15 goals in 11 home fixtures and shipping three goals in two of their last three league outings. Furthermore, eight of the previous ten meetings between these sides have produced three or more goals, including the six-goal thriller between them earlier this month.

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Published October 24, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.