BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg
Referee
Felix Zwayer
Form

Recent form

SC Freiburg
46Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

Bayern München
68Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +12 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Bayern München or Draw

BetGenius backs Bayern München or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

SC Freiburg host league leaders Bayern München in a high-stakes top-three Bundesliga encounter. Freiburg sit third in the table with 13 points from six matches, having achieved a flawless home league record with three wins from three games, netting 11 goals while conceding only twice. However, the hosts enter this fixture aiming to rebound following consecutive away defeats against Bayer Leverkusen (1-2) and Monaco (0-3).

Bayern München arrive at the summit of the standings with 14 points, maintaining an undefeated league campaign with four wins and two draws. While their scoring output has been immense at home, their travels have produced more measured results, yielding one win and two draws with four goals scored and three conceded. The visitors must also navigate notable squad absences, with Kim Min-Jae, Jamal Musiala, Luis Díaz, and Tarek Buchmann sidelined through injury, alongside Joshua Kimmich who is unavailable.

Despite those absences, Bayern retain considerable offensive quality with Harry Kane and Michael Olise, who have combined for nine goals and seven assists. Head-to-head records strongly favour the Bavarian side, who have won eight of the last ten meetings between the teams, including four victories and one draw in their last five trips to Freiburg.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Bayern München remain undefeated in the Bundesliga this season with four wins and two draws from six matches.
  2. Head-to-head history heavily favours Bayern, who have won eight of the past ten meetings and are unbeaten in five consecutive visits to Freiburg.
  3. SC Freiburg have won all three of their home Bundesliga fixtures this term, scoring 11 goals and conceding just two.
  4. Bayern München must manage key absences including Jamal Musiala, Luis Díaz, Kim Min-Jae, and Joshua Kimmich.
  5. Matches between these clubs regularly feature goals, with eight of the past ten encounters surpassing 2.5 total goals.
Availability

Team news

SC Freiburg

  • Y. EngelhardtInjury
  • B. YilmazLacking Match Fitness

Bayern München

  • T. BuchmannKnee Injury
  • L. DiazMuscle Injury
  • J. MusialaMuscle Injury
  • Kim Min-JaeKnee Injury
  • J. KimmichPersonal Reasons
Numbers

Statistical comparison

SC Freiburg at homeBayern München away
3
Played
3
3-0-0
W-D-L
1-2-0
3.7
Scored /game
1.3
0.7
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 5 goals per game (SC Freiburg at home plus Bayern München away).

Players

Key players this season

SC Freiburg

  • Y. Suzuki4G
  • M. Ginter3A

Bayern München

  • M. Olise5G · 2A
  • H. Kane4G · 5A
  • L. Díaz4G
  • J. KimmichPersonal Reasons3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern MünchenChampions League league stage6+1714
2Borussia DortmundChampions League league stage6+714
3SC FreiburgChampions League league stage6+913
4Bayer LeverkusenChampions League league stage6+713
5FSV Mainz 05Europa League league stage6+410
6SV ElversbergQualifying6+110
History

Head-to-head

1
SC Freiburg
1
Draws
8
Bayern München

Bayern München have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-04-04SC Freiburg2-3Bayern München
  • 2025-11-22Bayern München6-2SC Freiburg
  • 2025-01-25SC Freiburg1-2Bayern München
  • 2024-09-01Bayern München2-0SC Freiburg
  • 2024-03-01SC Freiburg2-2Bayern Munich
BetGenius

Our record in Bundesliga

66%52 won from 79 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Bayern München or Draw
76%
Confidence

Bayern München have maintained an unbeaten start to their Bundesliga season and hold a commanding head-to-head record against SC Freiburg, winning eight of their last ten encounters and remaining undefeated across their last five visits to this venue. Although the visitors are missing influential players such as Jamal Musiala and Joshua Kimmich, their attack remains potent through Harry Kane and Michael Olise. Freiburg have been strong at home in domestic competition, but consecutive losses against Bayer Leverkusen and Monaco demonstrate defensive vulnerabilities that Bayern can exploit. Covering the draw alongside an away victory provides solid coverage given Bayern's recent sequence of road stalemates.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.