Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +5 goal difference
BetGenius backs Sevilla or Draw (Double Chance) at 64% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Sevilla welcome Atletico Madrid to the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan in an early top-five La Liga clash. The hosts have enjoyed a flawless start to their campaign, securing consecutive victories with a 2-1 home win over Rayo Vallecano followed by a 3-1 away triumph at Athletic Club. Sevilla sit second in the standings with six points and five goals scored across their opening two fixtures.
Atletico Madrid enter matchday three in fifth place with four points, having followed an opening 2-0 victory against Malaga with an entertaining 2-2 draw at home to Villarreal. Diego Simeone's squad faces selection constraints for their first away fixture of the league season, with defender Robin Le Normand suspended following a red card, forward Alexander Sorloth sidelined by a muscle injury, and Julian Alvarez ruled out through illness.
The head-to-head record across the last ten meetings favors Atletico Madrid with seven wins to Sevilla's two and one draw, though Sevilla prevailed 2-1 in the most recent encounter at this venue in April 2026. With Sevilla demonstrating sharp attacking output and Atletico dealing with key absences in both defense and attack, a competitive encounter is expected.
Team news last updated Oct 18 (6 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.
Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Sevilla at home plus Atletico Madrid away).
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BarcelonaPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 9 | +30 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico MadridPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 9 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Real MadridPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 9 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Real BetisPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Real SociedadPromotion - Europa League (League phase) | 9 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | SevillaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 9 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 9 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | +1 | 11 |
Atletico Madrid have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Sevilla bring momentum into this tie with two wins from two matches and home advantage, having also won the latest direct meeting at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan 2-1. Atletico Madrid face notable squad absences, including Robin Le Normand in defense and both Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sorloth in attack, increasing the likelihood of Sevilla taking at least a point.
Both teams have scored in 100% of Sevilla's league matches this season, with Sevilla scoring five goals and conceding two across their opening two fixtures. Atletico Madrid have scored four goals in two matches and conceded twice against Villarreal. With both sides averaging at least two goals scored per game and Sevilla yet to keep a clean sheet, goals at both ends remain probable.
Sevilla or Draw — 64% confidence
Sevilla bring momentum into this tie with two wins from two matches and home advantage, having also won the latest direct meeting at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan 2-1. Atletico Madrid face notable squad absences, including Robin Le Normand in defense and both Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sorloth in attack, increasing the likelihood of Sevilla taking at least a point.
Yes — 68% confidence
Both teams have scored in 100% of Sevilla's league matches this season, with Sevilla scoring five goals and conceding two across their opening two fixtures. Atletico Madrid have scored four goals in two matches and conceded twice against Villarreal. With both sides averaging at least two goals scored per game and Sevilla yet to keep a clean sheet, goals at both ends remain probable.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Published August 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.
