BetGenius

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sat, Aug 29, 07:30 PM
Round
Regular Season - 3
Venue
Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Seville
Referee
Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain

Recent form

Sevilla
55Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +1 goal difference

Atletico Madrid
59Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +2 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Sevilla or Draw
Confidence64%

BetGenius backs Sevilla or Draw (Double Chance) at 64% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Sevilla welcome Atletico Madrid to the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan in an early top-five La Liga clash. The hosts have enjoyed a flawless start to their campaign, securing consecutive victories with a 2-1 home win over Rayo Vallecano followed by a 3-1 away triumph at Athletic Club. Sevilla sit second in the standings with six points and five goals scored across their opening two fixtures.

Atletico Madrid enter matchday three in fifth place with four points, having followed an opening 2-0 victory against Malaga with an entertaining 2-2 draw at home to Villarreal. Diego Simeone's squad faces selection constraints for their first away fixture of the league season, with defender Robin Le Normand suspended following a red card, forward Alexander Sorloth sidelined by a muscle injury, and Julian Alvarez ruled out through illness.

The head-to-head record across the last ten meetings favors Atletico Madrid with seven wins to Sevilla's two and one draw, though Sevilla prevailed 2-1 in the most recent encounter at this venue in April 2026. With Sevilla demonstrating sharp attacking output and Atletico dealing with key absences in both defense and attack, a competitive encounter is expected.

Key factors

  • Sevilla have won both of their opening La Liga fixtures, scoring five goals across the two matches.
  • Atletico Madrid are missing key personnel, with Robin Le Normand suspended and both Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sorloth unavailable.
  • Sevilla have conceded in both league matches this season, while Atletico Madrid scored four goals across their first two games.
  • Sevilla won the most recent head-to-head encounter 2-1 at home in April 2026.

Team news

Sevilla

  • R. VargasAnkle Injury

Atletico Madrid

  • A. SorlothMuscle Injury
  • A. OrtizRed Card
  • O. VargasCoach's decision

Statistical comparison

Sevilla at home vs Atletico Madrid away
2
Played
1-0-1
W-D-L
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Key players this season

Atletico Madrid

  • Álex Baena3G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
3Real MadridChampions League league stage4+79
4Real BetisChampions League league stage409
5Deportivo La CorunaEuropa League league stage4+38
6SevillaECL Playoffs4+17
7Atletico Madrid4+17
8Osasuna4-17
9Real Sociedad5-27
10Athletic Club4+16

Head-to-head

Full record →
Sevilla
2
Draws
1
Atletico Madrid
7

Atletico Madrid have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-08-29Sevilla 1-3 Atletico Madrid
  • 2026-04-11Sevilla 2-1 Atletico Madrid
  • 2025-11-01Atletico Madrid 3-0 Sevilla
  • 2025-04-06Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid
  • 2024-12-08Atletico Madrid 4-3 Sevilla

Our record in La Liga

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

3 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Sevilla or Draw
Confidence64%

Sevilla bring momentum into this tie with two wins from two matches and home advantage, having also won the latest direct meeting at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan 2-1. Atletico Madrid face notable squad absences, including Robin Le Normand in defense and both Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sorloth in attack, increasing the likelihood of Sevilla taking at least a point.

Combo BetWON
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
Yes
Confidence68%

Both teams have scored in 100% of Sevilla's league matches this season, with Sevilla scoring five goals and conceding two across their opening two fixtures. Atletico Madrid have scored four goals in two matches and conceded twice against Villarreal. With both sides averaging at least two goals scored per game and Sevilla yet to keep a clean sheet, goals at both ends remain probable.

FeaturedLOST
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Sevilla or Draw + Yes
Confidence64%

Sevilla or Draw — 64% confidence

Sevilla bring momentum into this tie with two wins from two matches and home advantage, having also won the latest direct meeting at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan 2-1. Atletico Madrid face notable squad absences, including Robin Le Normand in defense and both Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sorloth in attack, increasing the likelihood of Sevilla taking at least a point.

Yes — 68% confidence

Both teams have scored in 100% of Sevilla's league matches this season, with Sevilla scoring five goals and conceding two across their opening two fixtures. Atletico Madrid have scored four goals in two matches and conceded twice against Villarreal. With both sides averaging at least two goals scored per game and Sevilla yet to keep a clean sheet, goals at both ends remain probable.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

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Published August 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.