BetGenius
Round
League Stage - 3
Venue
Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden
Referee
O. Reitala
Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Brann or Draw

BetGenius backs Brann or Draw (Double Chance) at 64% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

64%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

St. Truiden host Brann in round 3 of the Conference League league phase. Both sides have six points from two games. Brann are third on goal difference +4, and St. Truiden are seventh on +3. Both sit in the top-eight zone that the table labels as the 1/8-final play-off places.

Across the wider evidence, Brann look the stronger side. They are seventh of 16 in the Eliteserien with 32 points from 25 games. St. Truiden are 15th of 18 in the Jupiler Pro League with 8 points from 10 games, and they have lost all of their last five league matches. St. Truiden's European form runs the other way: two wins, three goals scored and no goals conceded in the league phase. Their home-venue record in this competition is one game, a 2-0 win.

Brann have five players listed as injured (N. Boakye, M. Dyngeland, K. Kjartansson, S. Opsahl and J. Sorensen), but that list is dated 1 November, four days before kickoff, so it is indicative only. The digest lists no absences for St. Truiden, though it gives no as-of date for that list. No head-to-head data is available for this pairing, so it has not been used.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Both teams are level on six points after two league-phase games; Brann are third on goal difference +4 and St. Truiden seventh on +3, with both in the top-eight play-off zone.
  2. Domestic form points to Brann: seventh of 16 in Norway with 32 points, while St. Truiden are 15th of 18 in Belgium with 8 points and have lost their last five league matches.
  3. St. Truiden have kept clean sheets in both league-phase games and conceded no goals, but they have scored only 1.5 per game in this competition.
  4. Brann have five players listed as injured as of 1 November (N. Boakye, M. Dyngeland, K. Kjartansson, S. Opsahl, J. Sorensen); the list is four days old and indicative only.
  5. Goal volume: Brann average 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded per game in the stats block, St. Truiden's domestic games average 3.9 goals and the league phase averages 2.97 per game.
  6. No head-to-head record was supplied for this fixture, so no conclusions are drawn from past meetings.
Form

Recent form and results

Home

St. Truiden

3W 0D 2L · Goals 10–6

5 matches, 15 Oct to 1 Nov

50
Average
WWWLLLatest →
  • vsOH Leuven
    Jupiler Pro League
    L1–2
  • atClub Brugge KV
    Jupiler Pro League
    L2–3
  • atFC Midtjylland
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    W1–0
  • vsLommel United
    Cup
    W4–1
  • vsFC Iberia 1999
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    W2–0
Away

Brann

3W 0D 2L · Goals 12–9

5 matches, 18 Oct to 1 Nov

67
Strong
LWLWWLatest →
  • vsMolde
    Eliteserien
    W3–2
  • atGrorud
    NM Cupen
    W2–0
  • atLillestrom
    Eliteserien
    L2–3
  • atKauno Žalgiris
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    W4–1
  • atValerenga
    Eliteserien
    L1–3

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Lineups & team news

Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: St. Truiden: UEFA Europa Conference League (2026); Brann: UEFA Europa Conference League (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

St. Truiden at homeBrann away
1
Played
4
1-0-0
W-D-L
2-2-0
—
Scored /game
2.8
—
Conceded /game
1.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
80% (5 games)
60% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
80% (5 games)
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1PanathinaikosPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+56
2FC LuganoPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
3BrannPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
4TrabzonsporPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
5TwentePromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
6MonacoPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
7St. TruidenPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+36
8HNK Hajduk SplitPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+26
9BrightonPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2+44
10FC CopenhagenPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2+34
Prices

Bookmaker odds comparison

Cached odds are more than two hours old and are withheld until refreshed.

BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa Conference League

77%44 won from 57 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Brann or Draw
64%
Confidence

Brann are the more likely side to take something from this match, so the pick is that they avoid defeat rather than that they win outright. Their domestic standing is clearly better (seventh of 16 against 15th of 18), and their stats block shows 19 goals scored in 8 games, with 2.4 scored per game. St. Truiden have a strong home defensive start in this competition, with no goals conceded in two games, but they have scored only 1.5 per game in Europe and their domestic form is five straight defeats. The five Brann absences and the small European sample keep this from being an overwhelming mismatch, which is why the win-or-draw option is preferred over a straight Brann win. On the total, Brann have scored 2.4 and conceded 1.4 per game, St. Truiden's domestic games have averaged 3.9 goals, Brann's have averaged about 3.5, and the league phase averages 2.97 goals per game. Over 2.5 is the lean, though St. Truiden's European defence argues for caution.

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About this data

Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 4 Nov 2026, 05:10 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: St. Truiden: 4 Nov 2026, 05:10 WAT; Brann: 4 Nov 2026, 05:10 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 15:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Published November 4, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.