Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -6 goal difference
BetGenius backs Super Nova or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Super Nova host Tukums in Virsliga action with both clubs looking to solidify their standings in the lower half of the table. Super Nova sit sixth with 32 points from 27 matches, coming into this clash on a three-match unbeaten run in all competitions that includes a 1-0 away victory over FS Jelgava and a 1-1 draw at Auda.
Tukums occupy ninth place with 23 points from 29 games and have struggled substantially on their travels. Across 14 away league fixtures this campaign, Tukums have failed to register a single victory, recording four draws and ten defeats while conceding 36 goals at an average of 2.6 per match.
The recent head-to-head record heavily favors the hosts. Super Nova are unbeaten in four meetings against Tukums in 2026, winning three of those clashes by a 2-1 scoreline across league and cup competitions alongside a 1-1 draw on home soil.
Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Super Nova at home plus Tukums away).
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Auda | 28 | +18 | 56 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 29 | -2 | 41 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 29 | +1 | 38 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 27 | -10 | 32 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 29 | -16 | 31 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 29 | -31 | 24 |
| 9 | Tukums | 29 | -16 | 23 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 28 | -46 | 14 |
Super Nova have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.
Tukums have endured a miserable away campaign, remaining winless in 14 road games with 10 losses and 36 goals conceded. Super Nova have maintained an edge in direct encounters this year, avoiding defeat in all four 2026 meetings with three wins and one draw. Backing Super Nova to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes based on Tukums defensive fragility outside their home ground.
Both teams to score has landed in 80 percent of the last ten meetings between these sides, including all four encounters played in 2026. Tukums have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their 14 away fixtures this season while still averaging 1.1 goals scored per away game. Super Nova also concede an average of 1.8 goals per match at home, making goals for both sides a recurring pattern.
Yes — 68% confidence
Both teams to score has landed in 80 percent of the last ten meetings between these sides, including all four encounters played in 2026. Tukums have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their 14 away fixtures this season while still averaging 1.1 goals scored per away game. Super Nova also concede an average of 1.8 goals per match at home, making goals for both sides a recurring pattern.
Super Nova or Draw — 76% confidence
Tukums have endured a miserable away campaign, remaining winless in 14 road games with 10 losses and 36 goals conceded. Super Nova have maintained an edge in direct encounters this year, avoiding defeat in all four 2026 meetings with three wins and one draw. Backing Super Nova to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes based on Tukums defensive fragility outside their home ground.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Published September 8, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.
