FS Jelgava

Riga possess a substantial advantage across all major statistical metrics, holding a 38-point lead over Jelgava in the table and boasting 85 goals scored to Jelgava's 32. Across their last 10 head-to-head fixtures, Riga have remained undefeated with 8 wins, including an 8-0 away win against Jelgava earlier this season. Jelgava have struggled at home with 9 losses in 15 matches and failing to score in 8 of those games, pointing toward an away victory.

FS Jelgava or Draw — 68% confidence

FS Jelgava have proved difficult to beat on the road, suffering only five defeats in 14 away games with four wins and five draws. In contrast, Grobiņa have managed just three wins from 14 home fixtures and enter this match having lost four of their last five league outings.

Under 2.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Grobiņa have the weakest attacking return in this section of the table, registering only 20 goals across 29 league matches and failing to score in 14 of them. In addition, each of the three head-to-head meetings between these clubs in 2026 finished under 2.5 goals, with scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, and 1-0, while 70 percent of their last ten encounters overall stayed below the 2.5 goal threshold.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Grobiņa have the weakest attacking return in this section of the table, registering only 20 goals across 29 league matches and failing to score in 14 of them. In addition, each of the three head-to-head meetings between these clubs in 2026 finished under 2.5 goals, with scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, and 1-0, while 70 percent of their last ten encounters overall stayed below the 2.5 goal threshold.

FS Jelgava have proved difficult to beat on the road, suffering only five defeats in 14 away games with four wins and five draws. In contrast, Grobiņa have managed just three wins from 14 home fixtures and enter this match having lost four of their last five league outings.

FS Jelgava hold an undefeated record against Super Nova across ten historical encounters, winning four and drawing six. At home, Jelgava have won three of their four meetings against this opponent. Coming into this fixture on the back of consecutive league victories, Jelgava have the form and head-to-head profile to secure at least a point against a Super Nova side winless in their last four matches.

Tukums have collected all four of their season wins at home, posting a 4-4-5 record while failing to score in only one of their 13 home fixtures (averaging 1.8 goals per match). FS Jelgava have won only three of 13 away matches and remain winless in five recorded head-to-head visits to Tukums (two losses, three draws), including a 5-0 loss on this ground in May 2026. Double chance covering Tukums or a draw offers a well-supported, balanced position.