Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -8 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +1 goal difference
BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Grobiņa host FS Jelgava in round 30 of the Virsliga with both clubs seeking points in the lower half of the table. Jelgava sit seventh on 31 points, seven points clear of eighth-placed Grobiņa, who have accumulated 24 points across their 29 league outings.
Grobiņa have struggled for offensive output all season, managing just 20 goals in 29 fixtures, which represents an average of 0.7 goals per game. Their home record stands at three wins, five draws, and six defeats from 14 matches, having failed to find the net in seven of those home games.
FS Jelgava have displayed greater competence on their travels than on home soil, picking up four wins and five draws from 14 away matches while scoring 19 goals. With the previous three encounters between these teams in 2026 producing scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, and 1-0, a low-scoring and tightly contested affair is anticipated.
Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Grobiņa at home plus FS Jelgava away).
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 29 | -2 | 41 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 29 | +1 | 38 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 27 | -10 | 32 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 29 | -16 | 31 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 29 | -31 | 24 |
| 9 | Tukums | 29 | -16 | 23 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 28 | -46 | 14 |
the last 10 meetings are split 4-4 with 2 drawn, averaging 2.5 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.
Grobiņa have the weakest attacking return in this section of the table, registering only 20 goals across 29 league matches and failing to score in 14 of them. In addition, each of the three head-to-head meetings between these clubs in 2026 finished under 2.5 goals, with scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, and 1-0, while 70 percent of their last ten encounters overall stayed below the 2.5 goal threshold.
FS Jelgava have proved difficult to beat on the road, suffering only five defeats in 14 away games with four wins and five draws. In contrast, Grobiņa have managed just three wins from 14 home fixtures and enter this match having lost four of their last five league outings.
FS Jelgava or Draw — 68% confidence
FS Jelgava have proved difficult to beat on the road, suffering only five defeats in 14 away games with four wins and five draws. In contrast, Grobiņa have managed just three wins from 14 home fixtures and enter this match having lost four of their last five league outings.
Under 2.5 Goals — 74% confidence
Grobiņa have the weakest attacking return in this section of the table, registering only 20 goals across 29 league matches and failing to score in 14 of them. In addition, each of the three head-to-head meetings between these clubs in 2026 finished under 2.5 goals, with scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, and 1-0, while 70 percent of their last ten encounters overall stayed below the 2.5 goal threshold.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Published September 10, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.
