Grobiņa

Tukums have gathered all 23 of their season points at home where they average 1.8 goals scored per match across 15 fixtures. Grobina have struggled for offensive output on the road, netting only eight goals in 15 away outings while conceding 32. Given Grobina's nine away defeats and Tukums' relative stability at home, the hosts hold the upper hand to take at least a point from this encounter.

FS Jelgava or Draw — 68% confidence

FS Jelgava have proved difficult to beat on the road, suffering only five defeats in 14 away games with four wins and five draws. In contrast, Grobiņa have managed just three wins from 14 home fixtures and enter this match having lost four of their last five league outings.

Under 2.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Grobiņa have the weakest attacking return in this section of the table, registering only 20 goals across 29 league matches and failing to score in 14 of them. In addition, each of the three head-to-head meetings between these clubs in 2026 finished under 2.5 goals, with scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, and 1-0, while 70 percent of their last ten encounters overall stayed below the 2.5 goal threshold.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Grobiņa have the weakest attacking return in this section of the table, registering only 20 goals across 29 league matches and failing to score in 14 of them. In addition, each of the three head-to-head meetings between these clubs in 2026 finished under 2.5 goals, with scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, and 1-0, while 70 percent of their last ten encounters overall stayed below the 2.5 goal threshold.

FS Jelgava have proved difficult to beat on the road, suffering only five defeats in 14 away games with four wins and five draws. In contrast, Grobiņa have managed just three wins from 14 home fixtures and enter this match having lost four of their last five league outings.

Auda present a decisive, multi-signal advantage across league position, historical matchups, and home versus away splits. Across ten head-to-head fixtures, Auda have won eight times and never lost to Grobiņa, maintaining a perfect record of six wins from six matches at home in that span. Grobiņa have struggled considerably on the road, losing eight of 14 away fixtures while conceding 31 goals, an average of 2.2 per game. With Auda averaging 1.9 goals per match at home and holding a 29-point advantage in the table, the home victory represents the most probable outcome.

BFC Daugavpils enter this fixture in superior form, taking 10 points from their last four league matches, whereas Grobiņa have suffered four consecutive defeats. With Daugavpils having drawn five of their 12 away games and Grobiņa drawing five of their 13 home matches, the Double Chance selection covering an away win or draw offers a well-calibrated probabilistic position.