BetGenius

Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils prediction

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Kickoff
Sat, Aug 29, 12:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 28
Referee
E. Malcevs

Recent form

Grobiņa
29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -11 goal difference

BFC Daugavpils
53Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +3 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
BFC Daugavpils or Draw
Confidence76%

BetGenius backs BFC Daugavpils or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Grobiņa host BFC Daugavpils in round 28 of the Virsliga, with the two sides experiencing contrasting runs of form. Grobiņa enter the contest in eighth place with 21 points, seeking to stop a slide that has seen them lose four consecutive league fixtures while conceding 16 goals in that span. Playing on home soil, they have managed two wins, five draws, and six defeats in 13 matches.

BFC Daugavpils arrive positioned fourth in the table with 37 points, carrying positive momentum having gone unbeaten in their last four matches (three wins and one draw). While their away record shows two wins, five draws, and five defeats from 12 games, they have displayed solid defensive organisation in recent outings, keeping clean sheets in two of their last three fixtures.

The head-to-head record across the 2026 campaign suggests tight, low-scoring encounters between these teams. Their three previous league meetings this season resulted in a 1-0 win for Grobiņa, a 1-1 draw, and most recently a 1-0 victory for Daugavpils in June.

Key factors

  • BFC Daugavpils are unbeaten in their last four league fixtures (three wins, one draw).
  • Grobiņa have lost four straight Virsliga matches, conceding 16 goals across those four fixtures.
  • The three head-to-head meetings between the clubs in 2026 have produced just four total goals (1-0, 1-1, and 1-0).
  • Grobiņa have drawn five of their 13 home league matches this season, while Daugavpils have drawn five of 12 on the road.
  • Daugavpils sit fourth in the standings with 37 points, holding a 16-point advantage over eighth-placed Grobiņa.

Statistical comparison

Grobiņa at home vs BFC Daugavpils away
14
Played
13
3-5-6
W-D-L
2-5-6
0.9
Scored /game
1.2
1.4
Conceded /game
1.6
29%
Clean sheets
15%
50%
Failed to score
23%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Grobiņa at home plus BFC Daugavpils away).

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
2Riga28+5466
3Auda28+1856
4FK Liepaja29-241
5BFC Daugavpils29+138
6Super Nova27-1032
7FS Jelgava29-1631
8Grobiņa29-3124
9Tukums29-1623
10Ogre United28-4614

Head-to-head

Full record →
Grobiņa
4
Draws
1
BFC Daugavpils
5

BFC Daugavpils have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-06-20BFC Daugavpils 1-0 Grobiņa
  • 2026-05-02Grobiņa 1-1 BFC Daugavpils
  • 2026-03-07BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Grobiņa
  • 2025-09-15BFC Daugavpils 3-2 Grobiņa
  • 2025-06-26BFC Daugavpils 3-2 Grobiņa

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Double Chance
Pick
BFC Daugavpils or Draw
Confidence76%

BFC Daugavpils enter this fixture in superior form, taking 10 points from their last four league matches, whereas Grobiņa have suffered four consecutive defeats. With Daugavpils having drawn five of their 12 away games and Grobiņa drawing five of their 13 home matches, the Double Chance selection covering an away win or draw offers a well-calibrated probabilistic position.

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Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.