BFC Daugavpils enter this fixture in superior form, taking 10 points from their last four league matches, whereas Grobiņa have suffered four consecutive defeats. With Daugavpils having drawn five of their 12 away games and Grobiņa drawing five of their 13 home matches, the Double Chance selection covering an away win or draw offers a well-calibrated probabilistic position.
Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 28
- Referee
- E. Malcevs
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -2 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs BFC Daugavpils or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Grobiņa host BFC Daugavpils in round 28 of the Virsliga, with the two sides experiencing contrasting runs of form. Grobiņa enter the contest in eighth place with 21 points, seeking to stop a slide that has seen them lose four consecutive league fixtures while conceding 16 goals in that span. Playing on home soil, they have managed two wins, five draws, and six defeats in 13 matches.
BFC Daugavpils arrive positioned fourth in the table with 37 points, carrying positive momentum having gone unbeaten in their last four matches (three wins and one draw). While their away record shows two wins, five draws, and five defeats from 12 games, they have displayed solid defensive organisation in recent outings, keeping clean sheets in two of their last three fixtures.
The head-to-head record across the 2026 campaign suggests tight, low-scoring encounters between these teams. Their three previous league meetings this season resulted in a 1-0 win for Grobiņa, a 1-1 draw, and most recently a 1-0 victory for Daugavpils in June.
Key factors
- BFC Daugavpils are unbeaten in their last four league fixtures (three wins, one draw).
- Grobiņa have lost four straight Virsliga matches, conceding 16 goals across those four fixtures.
- The three head-to-head meetings between the clubs in 2026 have produced just four total goals (1-0, 1-1, and 1-0).
- Grobiņa have drawn five of their 13 home league matches this season, while Daugavpils have drawn five of 12 on the road.
- Daugavpils sit fourth in the standings with 37 points, holding a 16-point advantage over eighth-placed Grobiņa.
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Grobiņa at home plus BFC Daugavpils away).
Key players this season
Grobiņa
- M. Corryn3A
BFC Daugavpils
- A. Traore2G
- D. Kiwinda1G · 2A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Riga | 33 | +59 | 79 |
| 3 | Auda | 33 | +19 | 64 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 34 | 0 | 47 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 33 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 33 | -22 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 33 | -31 | 29 |
| 9 | Tukums | 34 | -21 | 25 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 33 | -48 | 18 |
Head-to-head
- 4
- Grobiņa
- 1
- Draws
- 5
- BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.
- 2026-06-20BFC Daugavpils1-0Grobiņa
- 2026-05-02Grobiņa1-1BFC Daugavpils
- 2026-03-07BFC Daugavpils0-1Grobiņa
- 2025-09-15BFC Daugavpils3-2Grobiņa
- 2025-06-26BFC Daugavpils3-2Grobiņa
Our record in Virsliga
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
Other Virsliga predictions
Teams around them in the table
Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

