BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 28
Referee
E. Malcevs
Form

Recent form

Grobiņa
47Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

BFC Daugavpils
32Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
BFC Daugavpils or Draw

BetGenius backs BFC Daugavpils or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Grobiņa host BFC Daugavpils in round 28 of the Virsliga, with the two sides experiencing contrasting runs of form. Grobiņa enter the contest in eighth place with 21 points, seeking to stop a slide that has seen them lose four consecutive league fixtures while conceding 16 goals in that span. Playing on home soil, they have managed two wins, five draws, and six defeats in 13 matches.

BFC Daugavpils arrive positioned fourth in the table with 37 points, carrying positive momentum having gone unbeaten in their last four matches (three wins and one draw). While their away record shows two wins, five draws, and five defeats from 12 games, they have displayed solid defensive organisation in recent outings, keeping clean sheets in two of their last three fixtures.

The head-to-head record across the 2026 campaign suggests tight, low-scoring encounters between these teams. Their three previous league meetings this season resulted in a 1-0 win for Grobiņa, a 1-1 draw, and most recently a 1-0 victory for Daugavpils in June.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. BFC Daugavpils are unbeaten in their last four league fixtures (three wins, one draw).
  2. Grobiņa have lost four straight Virsliga matches, conceding 16 goals across those four fixtures.
  3. The three head-to-head meetings between the clubs in 2026 have produced just four total goals (1-0, 1-1, and 1-0).
  4. Grobiņa have drawn five of their 13 home league matches this season, while Daugavpils have drawn five of 12 on the road.
  5. Daugavpils sit fourth in the standings with 37 points, holding a 16-point advantage over eighth-placed Grobiņa.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Grobiņa at homeBFC Daugavpils away
16
Played
14
4-6-6
W-D-L
2-6-6
0.9
Scored /game
1.2
1.3
Conceded /game
1.6
31%
Clean sheets
14%
50%
Failed to score
21%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Grobiņa at home plus BFC Daugavpils away).

Players

Key players this season

Grobiņa

  • M. Corryn3A

BFC Daugavpils

  • A. Traore2G
  • D. Kiwinda1G · 2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2Riga33+5979
3Auda33+1964
4FK Liepaja34047
5BFC Daugavpils33+245
6Super Nova33-1538
7FS Jelgava33-2232
8Grobiņa33-3129
9Tukums34-2125
10Ogre United33-4818
History

Head-to-head

4
Grobiņa
1
Draws
5
BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-06-20BFC Daugavpils1-0Grobiņa
  • 2026-05-02Grobiņa1-1BFC Daugavpils
  • 2026-03-07BFC Daugavpils0-1Grobiņa
  • 2025-09-15BFC Daugavpils3-2Grobiņa
  • 2025-06-26BFC Daugavpils3-2Grobiņa
BetGenius

Our record in Virsliga

55%22 won from 40 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
BFC Daugavpils or Draw
76%
Confidence

BFC Daugavpils enter this fixture in superior form, taking 10 points from their last four league matches, whereas Grobiņa have suffered four consecutive defeats. With Daugavpils having drawn five of their 12 away games and Grobiņa drawing five of their 13 home matches, the Double Chance selection covering an away win or draw offers a well-calibrated probabilistic position.

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Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.