Auda vs Grobiņa prediction

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Virsliga

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 6, 03:00 PM

Round

Regular Season - 29

Venue

Skonto stadions, Riga

Recent form

Auda

71Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +5 goal difference

Grobiņa

29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -11 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong

Market

Match Winner

Pick

Auda to win

Confidence76%

BetGenius backs Auda to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Third-placed Auda host eighth-placed Grobiņa in round 29 of the Virsliga, looking to reinforce their position near the top of the table. Auda sit on 53 points from 27 matches, holding a comfortable 29-point cushion over their opponents. While Auda have drawn their last two league matches against Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils, their overall campaign remains solid with 16 victories and 44 goals scored.

Grobiņa arrive having managed only five wins across their 28 league matches this season. Their form on the road has been particularly problematic, yielding eight defeats from 14 outings alongside a return of just eight goals scored and 31 conceded. Although they secured a narrow 1-0 home win over BFC Daugavpils in their latest match, Grobiņa have struggled heavily against the league's leading sides.

Historical meetings between the two sides heavily favor the hosts. Auda have won eight of their last ten encounters with Grobiņa across all competitions, including all six games played on home soil. With a significant gap in defensive stability and scoring output between the teams, Auda hold a clear statistical edge heading into this fixture.

Key factors

Auda have won all six home matches against Grobiņa in their last ten head-to-head encounters across all competitions.
Grobiņa have lost eight of their 14 away league matches this season, conceding 31 goals while scoring only eight.
Auda sit 29 points ahead of Grobiņa in the Virsliga standings with a plus-17 goal difference compared to Grobiņa's minus-30.
Grobiņa have failed to win in any of their ten historical meetings with Auda, recording eight defeats and two draws.
Auda average 1.9 goals scored per home match, while Grobiņa concede an average of 2.2 goals per away game.

Statistical comparison

Auda at home vs Grobiņa away

Played

8-2-4

W-D-L

2-4-8

1.9

Scored /game

0.6

1.1

Conceded /game

2.2

36%

Clean sheets

14%

Failed to score

43%

60%

BTTS (last 5)

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.5 goals per game (Auda at home plus Grobiņa away).

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	28	+48	70
2	Riga	28	+54	66
3	Auda	28	+18	56
4	FK Liepaja	29	-2	41
5	BFC Daugavpils	29	+1	38
6	Super Nova	27	-10	32
7	FS Jelgava	29	-16	31
8	Grobiņa	29	-31	24
9	Tukums	29	-16	23
10	Ogre United	28	-46	14

Head-to-head

Full record →

Auda

Draws

Grobiņa

Auda have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

2026-09-06Auda 1-0 Grobiņa
2026-08-17Auda 3-2 Grobiņa
2026-06-25Grobiņa 0-0 Auda
2026-05-07Auda 7-0 Grobiņa
2026-03-14Grobiņa 0-2 Auda

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Market

Match Winner

Pick

Auda to win

Confidence76%

Auda present a decisive, multi-signal advantage across league position, historical matchups, and home versus away splits. Across ten head-to-head fixtures, Auda have won eight times and never lost to Grobiņa, maintaining a perfect record of six wins from six matches at home in that span. Grobiņa have struggled considerably on the road, losing eight of 14 away fixtures while conceding 31 goals, an average of 2.2 per game. With Auda averaging 1.9 goals per match at home and holding a 29-point advantage in the table, the home victory represents the most probable outcome.

Auda vs Grobiņa prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Table context

Head-to-head

1 published market

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