BetGenius
Round
Round of 128
Venue
Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Valencia or Draw

BetGenius backs Valencia or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Tavernes host Valencia in the Round of 128 of the Copa del Rey. The home side reached this stage following two low-scoring draws against Maracena, drawing 1-1 away before a 0-0 draw at home. Across those two fixtures, Tavernes conceded just a single goal, displaying a disciplined defensive setup.

Valencia arrive amidst a challenging domestic campaign in La Liga, occupying 19th place out of 20 clubs with one win, three draws, and six defeats from ten league matches. They have scored seven goals and conceded 17 in the top flight, and they have recorded only one victory in their last five outings across all competitions.

The visitors are also managing several key absences, with S. Canos, J. Copete, D. Foulquier, D. Lopez, and U. Sadiq all ruled out through injury. Although the gap in competitive tier gives Valencia the upper hand, their modest goal output and squad rotation mean this tie could be more grinding than expansive.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Tavernes conceded only one goal across two preliminary cup fixtures, drawing 1-1 and 0-0 against Maracena.
  2. Valencia sit 19th in La Liga with just one win from ten league games, scoring seven goals.
  3. Valencia are without five injured players: S. Canos, J. Copete, D. Foulquier, D. Lopez, and U. Sadiq.
  4. Valencia have drawn two of their last four matches in all competitions, including a 0-0 draw against Athletic Club.
  5. Tavernes have averaged 0.5 goals scored per match across their two cup games.
Form

Recent form and results

Home

Tavernes

0W 2D 0L · Goals 1–1

2 matches, 27 Sept to 4 Oct

DDLatest →
  • vsMaracena
    Copa del Rey
    D0–0
  • atMaracena
    Copa del Rey
    D1–1
Away

Valencia

1W 2D 2L · Goals 6–7

5 matches, 15 Sept to 24 Oct

37
Poor
WLDDLLatest →
  • vsVillarreal
    La Liga
    L1–2
  • vsAthletic Club
    La Liga
    D0–0
  • atRacing Santander
    La Liga
    D2–2
  • vsReal Sociedad
    La Liga
    L2–3
  • atAlaves
    La Liga
    W1–0

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Lineups & team news

Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: Tavernes: competition not recorded; Valencia: competition not recorded. Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

Tavernes at homeValencia away
1
Played
—
0-1-0
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
—
BTTS (recent)
60% (5 games)
—
Over 2.5 (recent)
60% (5 games)
Prices

Bookmaker odds comparison

No usable bookmaker quotes are available for this fixture.

BetGenius

Our record in Copa del Rey

74%46 won from 62 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Valencia or Draw
76%
Confidence

Valencia possess superior technical quality as a top-flight side, but their domestic record of just one victory in ten matches highlights persistent offensive struggles. With five injured players missing including S. Canos, J. Copete, D. Foulquier, D. Lopez, and U. Sadiq, the visitors may field a rotated lineup. Tavernes have maintained tight scorelines in their cup ties with 1-1 and 0-0 results, suggesting they can limit space. Backing Valencia or the draw covers potential cup resistance while respecting the standard disparity, with under 2.5 goals matching both teams' low scoring rates.

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About this data

Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 27 Oct 2026, 08:10 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: Tavernes: 27 Oct 2026, 08:10 WAT; Valencia: 1 Nov 2026, 15:05 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 15:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Published October 27, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.