BetGenius
Round
Round of 128
Venue
Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Leganes or Draw

BetGenius backs Leganes or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Trival Valderas host Segunda Division outfit Leganes in the Round of 128 of the Copa del Rey. The hosts enter this encounter on the back of mixed domestic results, having recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat across their previous five matches, including a 2-2 draw away against Leganes' reserve side.

Leganes arrive in poor form within their domestic campaign, sitting 17th of 22 in the Segunda Division with 12 points from 11 matches. They are winless in their last five outings, drawing 1-1 against Mallorca most recently after suffering consecutive defeats to Cordoba, Almeria, Cadiz, and Castellon.

While the visitors hold the advantage of competing in a higher tier of Spanish football, their recent struggles in front of goal provide Trival Valderas with hope of staying competitive on home turf.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Leganes play in the Segunda Division, sitting 17th with 12 points from 11 fixtures.
  2. Leganes are winless in their last five matches, scoring just one goal across that span.
  3. Trival Valderas have won two and drawn two of their last five matches, including a 2-2 draw with Leganes II.
  4. Leganes have conceded 16 goals in 11 league matches while struggling for offensive production.
Form

Recent form and results

Home

Trival Valderas

2W 2D 1L · Goals 8–7

5 matches, 26 Sept to 25 Oct

53
Average
WWLDDLatest →
  • atLeganés II
    Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
    D2–2
  • vsCala Pozuelo
    Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
    D2–2
  • atRayo Vallecano II
    Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
    L0–1
  • vsLas Rozas
    Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
    W2–1
  • atReal Aranjuez
    Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
    W2–1
Away

Leganes

0W 1D 4L · Goals 1–11

5 matches, 28 Sept to 24 Oct

17
Very poor
LLLLDLatest →
  • vsMallorca
    Segunda División
    D1–1
  • vsCordoba
    Segunda División
    L0–1
  • atAlmeria
    Segunda División
    L0–3
  • atCadiz
    Segunda División
    L0–4
  • vsCastellón
    Segunda División
    L0–2

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Starting lineups

Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: Trival Valderas: competition not recorded; Leganes: competition not recorded. Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

Trival Valderas at homeLeganes away
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Played
—
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W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
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—
Conceded /game
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Clean sheets
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—
Failed to score
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80% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
20% (5 games)
80% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
40% (5 games)
Prices

Bookmaker odds comparison

No usable bookmaker quotes are available for this fixture.

BetGenius

Our record in Copa del Rey

74%46 won from 62 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Leganes or Draw
76%
Confidence

Leganes operate in the Segunda Division, representing a substantial step up in level compared to the regional opponents Trival Valderas face. However, Leganes have experienced significant difficulties in attack, failing to score in four of their last five matches and netting only seven goals in 11 league fixtures. Backing Leganes to win or draw covers the professional side's foundational quality while respecting their recent winless run.

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About this data

Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 27 Oct 2026, 06:55 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: Trival Valderas: 27 Oct 2026, 06:55 WAT; Leganes: 27 Oct 2026, 06:55 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 15:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Published October 27, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.