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Wed 9 Sept · 17:00

Vaprus vs Laagri prediction

Round
Regular Season - 27
Venue
Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu
Referee
J. Lorenz
Form

Recent form

Vaprus
35Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -5 goal difference

Laagri
89Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +15 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Vaprus or Draw

BetGenius backs Vaprus or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Vaprus and Laagri enter this Meistriliiga clash level on 31 points in the mid-table standings, occupying seventh and sixth positions respectively. Both clubs are looking to pull further away from the bottom positions as the regular season enters round 27.

Vaprus come into this match on the back of a 1-0 home victory against Nomme United, snapping a four-game winless run. Their home record has been a steady foundation this campaign, producing six wins and two draws from 13 fixtures in front of their supporters while averaging 1.6 goals scored per game.

Laagri have shown an all-or-nothing profile on their travels, recording four wins and eight defeats with no draws across 12 away games. Having conceded 22 goals across those 12 away matches and suffering a 2-0 home loss to Tammeka in their latest outing, they face a testing assignment against an evenly matched opponent.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Both teams sit level in the standings on 31 points after 25 and 26 matches respectively
  2. Vaprus have won six of their 13 home league games this season, averaging 1.6 goals scored per match
  3. Laagri have suffered eight defeats in 12 away league fixtures, conceding 22 goals in the process
  4. Vaprus hold a positive recent head-to-head record against Laagri with five wins from their last 10 meetings
  5. Laagri have registered only one draw across their 26 league matches this season
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Vaprus at homeLaagri away
14
Played
15
7-2-5
W-D-L
6-0-9
1.7
Scored /game
1.2
1.6
Conceded /game
1.7
29%
Clean sheets
13%
14%
Failed to score
33%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
0%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Vaprus at home plus Laagri away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
3PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)32+1357
4Kalju Nomme32+2151
5Tammeka33-550
6Laagri33047
7Vaprus33-2236
8Kuressaare32-1735
9Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga (Relegation)33-2234
10Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga33-4920
History

Head-to-head

5
Vaprus
3
Draws
2
Laagri

Vaprus have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game.

  • 2026-09-09Vaprus3-2Laagri
  • 2026-05-16Laagri1-2Vaprus
  • 2026-04-04Vaprus0-2Laagri
  • 2025-09-27Laagri1-2Vaprus
  • 2025-07-25Vaprus2-2Laagri
BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Vaprus or Draw
68%
Confidence

Vaprus have avoided defeat in eight of their 13 home league matches this season, securing six victories and two draws. Laagri have struggled for consistency on the road, losing eight of their 12 away fixtures while conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Backing the home side to win or draw covers the most likely outcomes in a tightly contested fixture.

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Published September 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.