Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -5 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +3 goal difference
BetGenius backs Vitoria or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
The Ba-Vi derby returns in Serie A as 12th-placed Vitoria host 6th-placed Bahia. Vitoria have built their campaign on a formidable home record, winning eight of their 11 fixtures at their own ground with eight clean sheets and conceding just seven goals.
Bahia enter the derby having drawn five consecutive Serie A fixtures, including recent stalemates against Chapecoense-sc (3-3), Fluminense (0-0), and Atletico-MG (1-1). Sitting in a Copa Sudamericana position with 34 points, Bahia have proven resilient on the road with four wins and four draws from 11 away outings.
With high derby stakes and Vitoria holding a strong defensive profile at home, this matchup projects to be closely contested. Head-to-head records show four draws in the last 10 encounters, and Bahia's current run of stalemates highlights their tendency toward tight scorelines.
Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.
Combined scoring rate: 2.7 goals per game (Vitoria at home plus Bahia away).
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) | 26 | +24 | 53 |
| 3 | Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) | 26 | +10 | 45 |
| 4 | FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) | 26 | +8 | 45 |
| 5 | BahiaPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification) | 26 | +8 | 43 |
| 6 | CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 26 | +1 | 42 |
| 7 | CoritibaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 26 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 25 | +2 | 36 |
| 9 | RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 25 | +3 | 35 |
| 10 | Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 25 | +3 | 33 |
| 11 | VitoriaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) | 26 | -12 | 32 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 26 | 0 | 32 |
| 13 | Santos | 25 | -1 | 32 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 25 | -3 | 31 |
Bahia have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Vitoria have won 8 of their 11 home league games while keeping 8 clean sheets. Coupled with Bahia drawing their last five consecutive league fixtures, Vitoria are well-positioned to avoid defeat at home.
Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.
