Vitoria

Vitoria or Draw — 71% confidence

Gremio have failed to record a single away victory in twelve league fixtures this season, registering four draws and eight defeats. Despite Vitoria entering on a four-game losing streak, their overall home profile shows eight wins and one draw from twelve matches. Covering the home win and the draw addresses Vitoria's recent slip in form while capitalising on Gremio's extended away struggles.

Under 2.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Under 2.5 goals is strongly supported by the venue splits of both teams. Gremio have struggled for output on their travels, scoring only six goals in twelve away matches for an average of 0.5 goals per away fixture, while failing to score in half of those games. Vitoria concede an average of just 0.8 goals per game at home and have collected eight clean sheets in twelve home outings. Additionally, seven of the previous ten meetings between these two clubs have produced fewer than three goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Under 2.5 goals is strongly supported by the venue splits of both teams. Gremio have struggled for output on their travels, scoring only six goals in twelve away matches for an average of 0.5 goals per away fixture, while failing to score in half of those games. Vitoria concede an average of just 0.8 goals per game at home and have collected eight clean sheets in twelve home outings. Additionally, seven of the previous ten meetings between these two clubs have produced fewer than three goals.

Gremio have failed to record a single away victory in twelve league fixtures this season, registering four draws and eight defeats. Despite Vitoria entering on a four-game losing streak, their overall home profile shows eight wins and one draw from twelve matches. Covering the home win and the draw addresses Vitoria's recent slip in form while capitalising on Gremio's extended away struggles.

Atletico-MG have proven difficult to defeat at home, posting five wins and four draws with only a single defeat in 10 home matches. In contrast, Vitoria have been winless in 12 away fixtures (four draws, eight losses) and average only 0.6 goals scored per away game. Selecting the double chance covers both a home win and the potential for a draw, reflecting Vitoria's low scoring output away from home.

Vitoria have won 8 of their 11 home league games while keeping 8 clean sheets. Coupled with Bahia drawing their last five consecutive league fixtures, Vitoria are well-positioned to avoid defeat at home.