Under 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence
Vitoria's matches at home average only 2.0 total goals per game, with the side conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per match at home. With Vitoria keeping clean sheets in nine of their 13 home fixtures, this encounter is likely to remain tight and under the 2.5 goal threshold.
Vitoria or Draw — 72% confidence
Vitoria have won nine of their 13 home matches this league season, suffering only three defeats and keeping nine clean sheets. In contrast, Cruzeiro have suffered three straight away losses in their recent matches and have conceded 23 goals across 13 road games. Backing Vitoria to avoid defeat offers strong alignment with their home strengths and Cruzeiro's away difficulties.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.