BetGenius

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II prediction

Checking status…
EredivisieEredivisie
Kickoff
Fri, Sep 11, 06:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar

Recent form

AZ Alkmaar
96Excellent

Last 5 matches · 5W-0D-0L · +11 goal difference

Willem II
23Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -8 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Match Winner
Pick
AZ Alkmaar to win
Confidence78%

BetGenius backs AZ Alkmaar to win (Match Winner) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

League leaders AZ Alkmaar host sixteenth-placed Willem II, aiming to extend their flawless start to the Eredivisie campaign. AZ have collected fifteen points from five matches, scoring sixteen times while demonstrating consistent offensive output across both home and away fixtures.

Willem II travel north in search of their first league win of the season after recording one draw and three defeats in their opening four matches. Their defensive record has been problematic, allowing thirteen goals already, including four in their only away outing against GO Ahead Eagles.

AZ Alkmaar will be without D. Kasius, S. Resink, and K. Smit through injury, while Willem II also contend with several absences including A. Culum, T. Didillon Hodl, A. Lachkar, J. Schuurman, and A. Zarrouk. Given the clear gap in current form and scoring reliability, the hosts enter this fixture in a commanding position.

Key factors

  • AZ Alkmaar lead the league with a maximum fifteen points from five matches, scoring sixteen goals.
  • Willem II are winless in four league matches, conceding thirteen goals at an average of 3.3 per game.
  • AZ Alkmaar have scored at least two goals in all five of their league matches this season.
  • Historical meetings between the clubs average 3.6 goals per game, with seven of the last ten producing over 2.5 goals.
  • Willem II conceded four goals in their only away league fixture of the campaign.

Team news

AZ Alkmaar

  • D. KasiusGroin Injury
  • S. ResinkKnee Injury
  • K. SmitInjury

Willem II

  • A. CulumFoot Injury
  • T. Didillon HodlHamstring Injury
  • A. LachkarGroin Injury
  • J. SchuurmanKnock
  • A. ZarroukSurgery

Statistical comparison

AZ Alkmaar at home vs Willem II away
2
Played
1
2-0-0
W-D-L
0-0-1
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Key players this season

AZ Alkmaar

  • R. Daal4G
  • M. Chávez3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1AZ AlkmaarPromotion - Champions League (League phase)5+1115
2PSV EindhovenPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)5+1213
3FeyenoordPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)5+611
4ExcelsiorPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)5+710
13Telstar4-54
14PEC Zwolle5-44
15Utrecht5-92
16Willem IIEredivisie (Relegation)4-91
17ADO Den HaagRelegation - Eerste Divisie5-81
18CambuurRelegation - Eerste Divisie5-121

Head-to-head

Full record →
AZ Alkmaar
4
Draws
3
Willem II
3

AZ Alkmaar have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2025-02-02Willem II 0-2 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2024-11-10AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Willem II
  • 2022-03-20Willem II 2-2 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2021-12-18AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Willem II
  • 2021-04-03Willem II 0-1 AZ Alkmaar

Our record in Eredivisie

93%25 won from 27 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

2 published markets

Featured
Market
Match Winner
Pick
AZ Alkmaar to win
Confidence78%

AZ Alkmaar sit top of the Eredivisie with a perfect record of five wins from five matches, scoring sixteen goals and conceding five. In contrast, Willem II are sixteenth in the table without a win in four league matches, having conceded thirteen goals in that span. AZ Alkmaar have scored at least two goals in every fixture so far, while Willem II concede an average of 3.3 goals per game, giving the home side a distinct performance edge.

Featured
Market
Total Goals
Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence75%

Fixtures involving both sides have produced substantial goal tallies throughout the early stages of the season. AZ Alkmaar have scored seven goals in two home games, averaging 3.5 goals scored per match on their own pitch. Willem II have conceded 3.3 goals per game overall and shipped four goals in their lone away league match. Across their last ten head-to-head encounters, seven matches produced over 2.5 goals with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

More from BetGenius

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PSV EindhovenFeyenoordExcelsiorFortuna SittardGO Ahead EaglesAjax
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Published September 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.