BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Allianz Arena, Munich
Referee
Benjamin Brand, Germany
Form

Recent form

Bayern München
68Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +12 goal difference

Union Berlin
54Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + Bayern München Over 1.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals + Bayern München Over 1.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 76% confidence — a strong call.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Bayern München welcome Union Berlin to the Allianz Arena for matchday four of the Bundesliga season. The hosts enter the clash in strong form, sitting fourth in the table with seven points from three matches and an unbeaten record of two wins and one draw. Having registered seven goals and conceded only twice in the league, including a 5-1 home victory over VfB Stuttgart, Bayern have displayed consistent attacking efficiency under their 4-2-3-1 setup.

In contrast, Union Berlin have endured a difficult start to the campaign, occupying 16th place with a solitary point from their opening three league fixtures. The visitors have conceded ten goals across three games, averaging 3.33 goals conceded per fixture, including a 4-0 away defeat at Bayer Leverkusen. Their defensive vulnerabilities are compounded by an extensive list of absentees, with seven squad members unavailable.

Historical head-to-head records heavily favour the home side. Across the last ten meetings in all competitions, Bayern remain unbeaten with seven victories and three draws, winning all five matches hosted on their home ground without defeat.

Availability

Team news

Bayern München

  • T. BuchmannKnee Injury
  • L. DiazMuscle Injury
  • J. MusialaMuscle Injury
  • Kim Min-JaeKnee Injury
  • J. KimmichPersonal Reasons

Union Berlin

  • A. MarkgrafKnee Injury
  • S. NsokiMuscle Injury
  • K. ImeriInjury
  • J. JuranovicAchilles Tendon Injury
  • A. IlicIllness
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Bayern München at homeUnion Berlin away
3
Played
2
3-0-0
W-D-L
0-0-2
6
Scored /game
—
0.7
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
Players

Key players this season

Bayern München

  • M. Olise5G · 2A
  • H. Kane4G · 5A
  • L. Díaz4G
  • J. KimmichPersonal Reasons3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern MünchenChampions League league stage6+1714
2Borussia DortmundChampions League league stage6+714
3SC FreiburgChampions League league stage6+913
4Bayer LeverkusenChampions League league stage6+713
14VfB Stuttgart7-36
15FC Schalke 046-35
16SC Paderborn 07Relegation Playoffs6-45
17Union BerlinRelegation6-125
18Borussia MönchengladbachRelegation7-113
History

Head-to-head

7
Bayern München
3
Draws
0
Union Berlin

Bayern München have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, 70% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-21Bayern München4-0Union Berlin
  • 2025-12-03Union Berlin2-3Bayern München
  • 2025-11-08Union Berlin2-2Bayern München
  • 2025-03-15Union Berlin1-1Bayern München
  • 2024-11-02Bayern München3-0Union Berlin
BetGenius

Our record in Bundesliga

66%57 won from 86 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + Bayern München Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Both must land · no better than

Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

Matches involving Union Berlin have averaged 4.67 total goals in the league this season, with their fixtures producing scores of 3-3, 0-4, and 1-3. Additionally, 70 percent of the last ten head-to-head encounters between Bayern München and Union Berlin have exceeded 2.5 goals, generating an average of 3.4 goals per match across that sample.

Bayern München Over 1.5 Goals — 82% confidence

Bayern München have displayed high offensive output, scoring five goals in their only home Bundesliga fixture this season and averaging 2.3 goals per game overall. They also produced five goals in recent home fixtures against Bodo/Glimt and VfB Stuttgart. Meanwhile, Union Berlin have allowed ten goals in their opening three league matches, including four away at Bayer Leverkusen, indicating clear vulnerabilities in their defensive structure.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Team Total Goals
Bayern München Over 1.5 Goals
82%
Confidence

Bayern München have displayed high offensive output, scoring five goals in their only home Bundesliga fixture this season and averaging 2.3 goals per game overall. They also produced five goals in recent home fixtures against Bodo/Glimt and VfB Stuttgart. Meanwhile, Union Berlin have allowed ten goals in their opening three league matches, including four away at Bayer Leverkusen, indicating clear vulnerabilities in their defensive structure.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

Matches involving Union Berlin have averaged 4.67 total goals in the league this season, with their fixtures producing scores of 3-3, 0-4, and 1-3. Additionally, 70 percent of the last ten head-to-head encounters between Bayern München and Union Berlin have exceeded 2.5 goals, generating an average of 3.4 goals per match across that sample.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published September 17, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.