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BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS prediction
Checking status…Kickoff
Sun, Sep 13, 11:00 AM
Recent form
BFC Daugavpils
48Average
Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · +1 goal difference
Rīgas FS
55Average
Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +3 goal difference
Our verdict
StrongMarket
Team Total Goals
Pick
Rīgas FS Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence75%
BetGenius backs Rīgas FS Over 1.5 Goals (Team Total Goals) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Virsliga leaders Rīgas FS travel to face fifth-placed BFC Daugavpils in round 30 of the regular season. Rīgas FS have dominated the campaign, collecting 70 points from 28 matches with 22 victories and a plus-48 goal difference. Their away form has been nearly flawless, winning 13 of their 14 road matches while conceding just eight goals.
BFC Daugavpils occupy fifth spot with 38 points from 29 games. While their home record of eight wins and 11 goals conceded in 15 matches shows defensive resilience on their own ground, they enter this clash on a run of three consecutive draws and face the league's most formidable opponent.
Historical meetings heavily favour the visitors. Rīgas FS have won all 10 of the previous 10 head-to-head encounters between the two clubs across all competitions, including three victories already in 2026 by scorelines of 1-0, 4-1, and 3-1.
Key factors
- Rīgas FS have won all 10 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings against BFC Daugavpils.
- Rīgas FS have recorded 13 wins from 14 away league fixtures this season, conceding only eight goals.
- Rīgas FS boast the league's top scoring record with 68 goals scored in 28 matches.
- BFC Daugavpils sit in fifth place with 38 points, trailing the league leaders by 32 points.
- Eight of the last 10 meetings between these two sides have produced over 2.5 total goals.
Statistical comparison
BFC Daugavpils at home vs Rīgas FS away15
Played
14
8-2-5
W-D-L
13-0-1
1.1
Scored /game
1.9
0.7
Conceded /game
0.6
40%
Clean sheets
64%
40%
Failed to score
0%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (BFC Daugavpils at home plus Rīgas FS away).
Table context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 28 | +48 | 70 |
| 2 | Riga | 28 | +54 | 66 |
| 3 | Auda | 28 | +18 | 56 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 29 | -2 | 41 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 29 | +1 | 38 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 28 | -9 | 35 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 29 | -16 | 31 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 29 | -31 | 24 |
Head-to-head
Full record →BFC Daugavpils
0
Draws
0
Rīgas FS
10
Rīgas FS have won 10 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 4.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.
- 2026-06-30Rīgas FS 3-1 BFC Daugavpils
- 2026-05-13BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Rīgas FS
- 2026-03-21Rīgas FS 4-1 BFC Daugavpils
- 2026-02-28Rīgas FS 1-0 BFC Daugavpils
- 2025-09-21Rīgas FS 5-1 BFC Daugavpils
3 published markets
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Combo Bet
Market
Team Total Goals
Pick
Rīgas FS Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence75%
Rīgas FS have generated 68 goals in 28 league matches, averaging 2.4 goals per game overall and 1.9 goals per match on the road. In direct clashes against BFC Daugavpils, Rīgas FS have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 meetings, including three separate matches in the current campaign where they scored at least three.
Featured
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Rīgas FS to win + Rīgas FS Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence75%
Rīgas FS to win — 80% confidence
Rīgas FS hold an overwhelming advantage across all key indicators. They lead the Virsliga table by 32 points over BFC Daugavpils and have won 13 of their 14 away matches this season. Crucially, the head-to-head record shows complete dominance with Rīgas FS winning all 10 of their last 10 meetings against Daugavpils, making an away victory the most probable outcome.
Rīgas FS Over 1.5 Goals — 75% confidence
Rīgas FS have generated 68 goals in 28 league matches, averaging 2.4 goals per game overall and 1.9 goals per match on the road. In direct clashes against BFC Daugavpils, Rīgas FS have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 meetings, including three separate matches in the current campaign where they scored at least three.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.