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Full time
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Tue 3 Nov21:00 WAT

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille prediction

Round
League Stage - 4
Venue
Aspmyra Stadion, Hakata
Referee
Joao Pinheiro
Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Bodo/Glimt or Draw

BetGenius backs Bodo/Glimt or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Bodo/Glimt host Lille in the UEFA Champions League league stage (round 4), with Bodo/Glimt on 3 points and 28th in the table and Lille on 0 points and 35th of 36. The home side has the better Champions League return so far: a 1-0 win over Borussia Dortmund at home and a 3-4 defeat away to Napoli, with an average of 2.3 goals scored per game in this competition. Lille have lost all three of their Champions League games, including 3-0 at Arsenal and 2-4 at home to Galatasaray, and average 1.3 goals scored per game with a leaky defence at 3.3 conceded.

Domestically the picture is closer than the European table suggests. Bodo/Glimt are second of 16 in Eliteserien with 19 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 25 games, scoring 61 and conceding 23. Lille are second of 18 in Ligue 1 after 9 games with 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat, a sample that is much shorter. Bodo/Glimt's last five across all competitions read WLWWL in domestic form, with a 3-2 home win over Viking, and Lille's Ligue 1 run is WDDWL, with a 1-0 home win over Lens last time out. Both sides come into this with injury concerns. Bodo/Glimt are missing H. Evjen, J. Lund, A. Mikkelsen and I. Sjong, all listed as injuries. Lille are without E. Mbappe, who is suspended after a red card, and H. Igamane, T. Santos and A. Ueda, all injured.

The most likely outcomes are a home win or a draw, with Bodo/Glimt's home record and Lille's weak away results giving the home side the edge. Both teams have conceded regularly in this competition, so a high-scoring game is more likely than a tight one.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Bodo/Glimt are 3-0 at home this season across all competitions with 7 goals scored and 2 conceded, and they have a 1-0 home win over Borussia Dortmund in this competition.
  2. Lille are 0-3 in their away games this season and have lost all three Champions League games so far, with an average of 1.3 goals scored per game in all competitions.
  3. Lille are without E. Mbappe (suspended after a red card) and H. Igamane, T. Santos and A. Ueda (injured), while Bodo/Glimt are missing H. Evjen, J. Lund, A. Mikkelsen and I. Sjong (injured).
  4. Both sides are second in their domestic leagues, Bodo/Glimt in Eliteserien (19 wins from 25) and Lille in Ligue 1 (5 wins from 9), so the domestic level is comparable and the Lille sample is short.
  5. Bodo/Glimt concede an average of 3.3 goals per game away from home in this competition, while Lille concede 3.3 per game overall, and the competition average is 4.09 goals per game, which supports a higher-scoring match.
Form

Recent form and results

Home

Bodo/Glimt

3W 0D 2L · Goals 9–7

5 matches, 14 Oct to 30 Oct

56
Average
WWLLWLatest →
  • vsViking
    Eliteserien
    W3–2
  • vsValerenga
    Eliteserien
    L0–1
  • atNapoli
    UEFA Champions League
    L3–4
  • atHam-Kam
    Eliteserien
    W2–0
  • vsBorussia Dortmund
    UEFA Champions League
    W1–0
Away

Lille

1W 2D 2L · Goals 5–9

5 matches, 13 Oct to 30 Oct

46
Average
LDLDWLatest →
  • vsLens
    Ligue 1
    W1–0
  • atMonaco
    Ligue 1
    D1–1
  • vsGalatasaray
    UEFA Champions League
    L2–4
  • vsStade Brestois 29
    Ligue 1
    D1–1
  • atArsenal
    UEFA Champions League
    L0–3

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Lineups & team news

Bodo/Glimt · 4-3-3

  1. 12 N. Haikin (G)
  2. 20 F. Sjøvold (D)
  3. 4 O. Bjørtuft (D)
  4. 5 H. Aleesami (D)
  5. 15 F. Bjørkan (D)
  6. 8 S. Auklend (M)
  7. 7 P. Berg (M)
  8. 19 S. Fet (M)
  9. 11 O. Didrik Blomberg (F)
  10. 9 A. Helmersen (F)
  11. 10 J. Hauge (F)

Lille · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 B. Özer (G)
  2. 3 N. Ngoy (D)
  3. 23 T. Nianzou (D)
  4. 26 I. Cossier (D)
  5. 24 C. Verdonk (D)
  6. 21 B. André (M)
  7. 14 M. Kjærgaard (M)
  8. 7 D. Bakwa (M)
  9. 17 N. Mukau (M)
  10. 35 S. Diaoune (M)
  11. 10 H. Haraldsson (F)
Bodo/GlimtSubstitutes (9)
  • 17O. BrynhildsenF
  • 6J. GundersenD
  • 16J. KitolanoM
  • 1J. Faye LundG
  • 25I. MäättäD
  • 22J. MvukaM
  • 2V. NielsenD
  • 23M. RiisnæsM
  • 14U. SaltnesM
LilleSubstitutes (7)
  • 9O. GiroudF
  • 38M. GoffiD
  • 28G. PerrinF
  • 11O. SahraouiF
  • 2L. SrdanovicD
  • 4Alexsandro RibeiroD
  • 12O. GillG

Starting XIs reported by API-Football, fetched 3 Nov 2026, 21:12 WAT. These are reported lineups, not predicted selections. Late changes may follow.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: Bodo/Glimt: UEFA Champions League (2026); Lille: UEFA Champions League (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

Bodo/Glimt at homeLille away
3
Played
1
3-0-0
W-D-L
0-0-1
2.3
Scored /game
—
0.7
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
60% (5 games)
40% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
40% (5 games)
Players

Key players this season

Bodo/Glimt

  • J. Hauge3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
20Shakhtar DonetskPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)404
21PSV EindhovenPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)304
22Atletico MadridPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)4-14
23Bodo/GlimtPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)4-54
24NapoliPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3-23
25Sabah FA3-33
26Lens3-43
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34Lille4-61
35FC Porto3-40
36Slovan Bratislava4-160
Prices

Archived pre-match odds

Provider quote time: 3 Nov 2026, 19:00 WAT. Decimal prices. Historical quotes, not current offers. Coverage varies by selection; these are cached quotes, not a complete market survey.

Match Winner

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Home1.70 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.70
  • 1xBet: 1.67
  • Betfair: 1.65
  • Pinnacle: 1.65
  • William Hill: 1.65
1.65 / 10
Draw4.51 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 4.51
  • Dafabet: 4.50
  • Betano: 4.40
  • BetVictor: 4.40
  • Marathonbet: 4.40
4.40 / 10
Away5.12 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 5.12
  • 1xBet: 5.08
  • Bet365: 5.00
  • Betfair: 5.00
  • Marathonbet: 4.95
4.88 / 10

Double Chance

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Home/Draw1.23 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.23
  • 1xBet: 1.21
  • William Hill: 1.20
  • Marathonbet: 1.19
  • Bet365: 1.18
1.19 / 8
Home/Away1.24 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 1.24
  • Marathonbet: 1.23
  • Bet365: 1.22
  • Betano: 1.22
  • William Hill: 1.22
1.22 / 8
Draw/Away2.36 · SBO
Named quotes (5)
  • SBO: 2.36
  • Marathonbet: 2.34
  • 1xBet: 2.33
  • Betano: 2.22
  • Bet365: 2.20
2.21 / 8

Goals Over/Under

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Over 1.01.02 · 1xBet
Named quotes (1)
  • 1xBet: 1.02
1.02 / 1
Under 7.51.02 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.02
  • Betano: 1.02
1.02 / 2
Over 0.51.03 · Betano
Named quotes (1)
  • Betano: 1.03
1.03 / 1
Under 6.51.05 · Bet365
Named quotes (4)
  • Bet365: 1.05
  • Betano: 1.05
  • 1xBet: 1.04
  • Betfair: 1.04
1.04 / 4
Under 5.251.09 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.09
  • Marathonbet: 1.07
1.08 / 2
Over 1.751.12 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.12
  • Marathonbet: 1.10
1.11 / 2
Under 5.01.13 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.13
  • Marathonbet: 1.09
1.11 / 2
Under 5.51.13 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.13
  • Bet365: 1.12
  • Betfair: 1.11
  • 1xBet: 1.10
  • BetVictor: 1.07
1.10 / 6
Over 1.51.15 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.15
  • Betfair: 1.13
  • Bet365: 1.12
  • 1xBet: 1.11
  • BetVictor: 1.10
1.12 / 6
Over 2.01.16 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.16
  • Marathonbet: 1.13
1.15 / 2
Under 4.751.20 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.20
  • Marathonbet: 1.18
1.19 / 2
Under 4.51.31 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.31
  • 1xBet: 1.30
  • Bet365: 1.30
  • Betfair: 1.30
  • Marathonbet: 1.26
1.30 / 6
Over 2.251.33 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (4)
  • Pinnacle: 1.33
  • BetVictor: 1.31
  • 1xBet: 1.29
  • Marathonbet: 1.27
1.30 / 4
Under 4.251.36 · 1xBet
Named quotes (4)
  • 1xBet: 1.36
  • Pinnacle: 1.35
  • BetVictor: 1.34
  • Marathonbet: 1.32
1.35 / 4
Under 4.01.44 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 1.44
  • Betano: 1.42
  • Pinnacle: 1.42
  • BetVictor: 1.40
  • Marathonbet: 1.39
1.42 / 5
Over 2.51.48 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 1.48
  • Betano: 1.47
  • 1xBet: 1.46
  • Bet365: 1.44
  • Betfair: 1.44
1.44 / 7
Over 2.751.61 · SBO
Named quotes (5)
  • SBO: 1.61
  • Pinnacle: 1.58
  • 1xBet: 1.53
  • BetVictor: 1.51
  • Marathonbet: 1.50
1.53 / 5
Under 3.751.63 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 1.63
  • Pinnacle: 1.58
  • SBO: 1.57
  • Marathonbet: 1.55
  • BetVictor: 1.54
1.57 / 5
Over 3.01.72 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 1.72
  • 1xBet: 1.70
  • Betano: 1.70
  • SBO: 1.70
  • Marathonbet: 1.64
1.70 / 6
Under 3.51.79 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 1.79
  • SBO: 1.77
  • Betano: 1.75
  • Betfair: 1.75
  • Pinnacle: 1.75
1.75 / 8
Over 3.251.96 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 1.96
  • SBO: 1.94
  • 1xBet: 1.91
  • Marathonbet: 1.87
  • BetVictor: 1.83
1.91 / 5
Under 3.251.96 · SBO
Named quotes (5)
  • SBO: 1.96
  • Pinnacle: 1.94
  • 1xBet: 1.91
  • Marathonbet: 1.87
  • BetVictor: 1.84
1.91 / 5
Over 3.52.18 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 2.18
  • Pinnacle: 2.17
  • Betano: 2.15
  • SBO: 2.14
  • Marathonbet: 2.12
2.13 / 8
Under 3.02.25 · SBO
Named quotes (5)
  • SBO: 2.25
  • 1xBet: 2.22
  • Pinnacle: 2.21
  • Betano: 2.20
  • Marathonbet: 2.15
2.21 / 6
Over 3.752.49 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 2.49
  • SBO: 2.49
  • 1xBet: 2.48
  • Marathonbet: 2.36
  • BetVictor: 2.27
2.48 / 5
Under 2.752.50 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 2.50
  • 1xBet: 2.45
  • Marathonbet: 2.41
  • SBO: 2.36
  • BetVictor: 2.34
2.41 / 5
Under 2.52.80 · Betfair
Named quotes (5)
  • Betfair: 2.80
  • Betano: 2.77
  • Pinnacle: 2.77
  • Bet365: 2.75
  • 1xBet: 2.72
2.75 / 7
Over 4.03.00 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 3.00
  • Betano: 2.95
  • 1xBet: 2.91
  • Marathonbet: 2.81
  • BetVictor: 2.66
2.91 / 5
Over 4.253.33 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (4)
  • Pinnacle: 3.33
  • 1xBet: 3.18
  • Marathonbet: 3.10
  • BetVictor: 2.91
3.14 / 4
Under 2.253.46 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (4)
  • Pinnacle: 3.46
  • 1xBet: 3.33
  • Marathonbet: 3.28
  • BetVictor: 3.05
3.30 / 4
Over 4.53.52 · 1xBet
Named quotes (5)
  • 1xBet: 3.52
  • Bet365: 3.50
  • Betfair: 3.50
  • BetVictor: 3.50
  • Betano: 3.45
3.50 / 6
Over 4.754.23 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 4.23
  • Marathonbet: 4.15
4.19 / 2
Under 2.04.85 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 4.85
  • Marathonbet: 4.70
4.78 / 2
Under 1.755.24 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 5.24
  • Marathonbet: 5.15
5.20 / 2
Over 5.05.63 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 5.63
  • Marathonbet: 5.45
5.54 / 2
Over 5.255.85 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 5.85
  • Marathonbet: 5.75
5.80 / 2
Under 1.56.00 · Bet365
Named quotes (5)
  • Bet365: 6.00
  • Betfair: 6.00
  • BetVictor: 6.00
  • 1xBet: 5.82
  • Marathonbet: 5.65
5.91 / 6
Over 5.57.00 · BetVictor
Named quotes (5)
  • BetVictor: 7.00
  • Betfair: 6.50
  • 1xBet: 6.25
  • Marathonbet: 6.05
  • Bet365: 6.00
6.15 / 6
Under 1.09.95 · 1xBet
Named quotes (1)
  • 1xBet: 9.95
9.95 / 1
Over 6.512.00 · Betfair
Named quotes (5)
  • Betfair: 12.00
  • BetVictor: 12.00
  • Bet365: 11.00
  • Betano: 10.25
  • 1xBet: 8.70
11.00 / 5
Under 0.521.00 · Bet365
Named quotes (3)
  • Bet365: 21.00
  • Betano: 13.00
  • 1xBet: 11.60
13.00 / 3
Over 7.523.00 · Bet365
Named quotes (3)
  • Bet365: 23.00
  • Betano: 15.00
  • 1xBet: 9.85
15.00 / 3
Over 8.541.00 · Bet365
Named quotes (2)
  • Bet365: 41.00
  • 1xBet: 11.60
26.30 / 2

Both Teams Score

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Yes1.50 · Bet365
Named quotes (5)
  • Bet365: 1.50
  • Betano: 1.50
  • 1xBet: 1.47
  • Marathonbet: 1.47
  • Betfair: 1.44
1.47 / 7
No2.63 · Betfair
Named quotes (5)
  • Betfair: 2.63
  • William Hill: 2.60
  • BetVictor: 2.55
  • 1xBet: 2.53
  • Bet365: 2.50
2.53 / 7

Bookmaker prices are separate from BetGenius confidence ratings. No opening price or odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot.

BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Champions League

63%110 won from 174 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Bodo/Glimt or Draw
70%
Confidence

Bodo/Glimt have won all three of their home games this season across all competitions, scoring 7 and conceding 2 there, and they sit second in Eliteserien. Lille have lost their only away game in this competition 0-3 at Arsenal, have no away win this season, and are without Mbappe through suspension plus three injured players. Backing home or draw covers Bodo/Glimt winning or drawing, which fits a home side with the better Champions League points return and a visiting side that has not won away. The win on its own is closer to a coin flip given Lille's 9-game Ligue 1 record, so the number reflects the combined outcome rather than a heavy favourite.

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About this data

Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 2 Nov 2026, 02:10 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: Bodo/Glimt: 3 Nov 2026, 12:05 WAT; Lille: 3 Nov 2026, 12:05 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 18:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Completed match: published prediction record

This match has finished. The published call is retained for review; see today’s predictions.

Published November 2, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.