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Mon 31 Aug · 15:30

FK Liepaja vs Riga prediction

Round
Regular Season - 28
Venue
Daugavas stadions
Referee
K. Ratnieks
Form

Recent form

FK Liepaja
57Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +2 goal difference

Riga
81Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Riga to win

BetGenius backs Riga to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

FK Liepaja host title contenders Riga in Round 28 of the Virsliga, facing one of the most formidable attacks in the league. The hosts sit fifth in the table with 37 points from 27 matches and have produced solid home form, winning seven of their twelve matches on home turf while scoring 23 goals.

Riga arrive in second position with 65 points from 26 matches, trailing the league leaders by just a single point. Their campaign has been remarkably dominant, posting 20 wins and only one defeat all season while amassing a massive goal tally of 79 goals scored and just 24 conceded across 26 league fixtures.

The head-to-head record heavily tilts toward the visitors, with Riga winning nine of the last ten encounters between the sides across all competitions. While Liepaja managed a 2-1 home victory earlier in March, Riga responded emphatically in subsequent meetings, including a 4-0 victory in their most recent clash in June.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Riga have lost only one league match all season, recording 20 wins and five draws in 26 outings.
  2. Riga have won nine of the last ten head-to-head fixtures against FK Liepaja in all competitions.
  3. The visitors average 3.0 goals scored per match on their travels, scoring 36 times in 12 away games.
  4. FK Liepaja have suffered 12 defeats in 27 league fixtures and hold a negative goal difference of -3.
  5. Meetings between these two teams have averaged 3.3 goals per game over the last ten encounters, with 70 percent exceeding 2.5 total goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

FK Liepaja at homeRiga away
13
Played
3
8-2-3
W-D-L
1-2-0
2
Scored /game
1.3
1.1
Conceded /game
1
15%
Clean sheets
—
15%
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (FK Liepaja at home plus Riga away).

Players

Key players this season

FK Liepaja

  • J. Ede2G
  • A. Ogunniyi1A

Riga

  • Paulo3G · 1A
  • M. Badamosi2G
  • S. Oulad M'Hand1A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Rīgas FS33+5783
2Riga33+5979
3Auda33+1964
4FK Liepaja33046
5BFC Daugavpils33+245
6Super Nova33-1538
7FS Jelgava33-2232
History

Head-to-head

2
FK Liepaja
0
Draws
8
Riga

Riga have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.5 goals a game, 70% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-31FK Liepaja3-2Riga
  • 2026-06-21Riga4-0FK Liepaja
  • 2026-05-03Riga1-0FK Liepaja
  • 2026-03-07FK Liepaja2-1Riga
  • 2025-10-03Riga3-0FK Liepaja
BetGenius

Our record in Virsliga

55%22 won from 40 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Match Winner
Riga to win
76%
Confidence

Riga possess an overwhelming statistical advantage across the campaign, boasting 20 victories in 26 matches and an average of 3.0 goals scored per away game. They have claimed victory in nine of the previous ten head-to-head meetings against Liepaja, outscoring them heavily in the majority of those fixtures. Although Liepaja have respectable numbers at home, the gap in quality and attacking output between the title challengers and mid-table Liepaja points strongly toward an away win.

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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.