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Sat 17 Oct · 14:30

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 6
Venue: Volksparkstadion, Hamburger
Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Hamburger SV

80Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · 0 goal difference

VfB Stuttgart

63Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +9 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Hamburger SV host VfB Stuttgart in round six of the Bundesliga, with both teams level on six points in 12th and 11th positions respectively. Hamburger SV have experienced severe defensive issues in the opening stretch of the campaign, conceding 15 goals in five league fixtures and failing to record a single clean sheet.

VfB Stuttgart have produced a mixed start in the league with two wins and three defeats, scoring eight goals while conceding nine. Away from home in the Bundesliga, Stuttgart have conceded seven goals across three matches, averaging 2.3 goals against per away fixture.

Past meetings between these two clubs have consistently produced high-scoring affairs. Across their last ten head-to-head clashes, matches have averaged 4.1 goals per game, with nine of those ten encounters seeing three or more goals scored. With defensive vulnerabilities evident on both sides and multiple players unavailable through injury, another open contest is probable.

Analysis

Key factors

Hamburger SV have conceded 15 goals in five league matches, averaging 3.0 goals conceded per game with zero clean sheets.
Nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings between Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart have produced over 2.5 goals, averaging 4.1 goals per match.
VfB Stuttgart have conceded seven goals across three away Bundesliga games while scoring in every away league fixture so far.
The two sides sit tied on six points in the Bundesliga table, separated by goal difference in 11th and 12th place.

Availability

Team news

Hamburger SV

N. RembergKnee Injury
M. VuskovicDoping

VfB Stuttgart

J. DiehlMuscle Injury
N. NarteyThigh Injury
T. TomasMuscle Injury
J. VagnomanMuscle Injury
D. ZagadouMuscle Injury

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Hamburger SV at homeVfB Stuttgart away

Played

2-0-1

W-D-L

1-0-3

Scored /game

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

40%

BTTS (last 5)

20%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (Hamburger SV at home plus VfB Stuttgart away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
6	SV ElversbergQualifying	6	+1	10
7	RB Leipzig	6	+5	9
8	Werder Bremen	6	0	9
9	Hamburger SV	6	-9	9
10	FC Augsburg	6	+4	8
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	-6	8
12	1. FC Köln	6	-3	7
13	1899 Hoffenheim	6	-3	6
14	VfB Stuttgart	7	-3	6
15	FC Schalke 04	6	-3	5
16	SC Paderborn 07Relegation Playoffs	6	-4	5
17	Union BerlinRelegation	6	-12	5

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

2
Hamburger SV: 1
Draws: 6
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart have won 6 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 4.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 78% of them.

2026-04-12VfB Stuttgart4-0Hamburger SV
2025-11-30Hamburger SV2-1VfB Stuttgart
2023-06-05Hamburger SV1-3VfB Stuttgart
2023-06-01VfB Stuttgart3-0Hamburger SV
2020-08-26VfB Stuttgart3-2Hamburger SV

BetGenius

Our record in Bundesliga

66%52 won from 79 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Goals

76%

Confidence

Hamburger SV have conceded 15 goals in five Bundesliga matches, an average of 3.0 per fixture, without keeping a single clean sheet. VfB Stuttgart have conceded seven goals in their three away league games while scoring four of their own. Head-to-head history strongly supports a high goal total, as nine of the past ten encounters between these clubs have exceeded 2.5 goals, producing an average of 4.1 goals per match. Additionally, both sides carry several defensive and midfield absences, including M. Vuskovic and P. Daka for the hosts, and D. Zagadou and M. Mittelstadt for the visitors, which further points to chances at both ends.

Explore

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Hamburger SV

VfB Stuttgart

Statistical comparison

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Bundesliga

1 published market

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