BetGenius

Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad prediction

Checking status…
EliteserienEliteserien
Kickoff
Sun, Aug 30, 05:15 PM
Round
Regular Season - 19
Venue
Åråsen, Lillestrøm
Referee
Tore Hansen, Norway

Recent form

Lillestrom
40Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -4 goal difference

Fredrikstad
95Excellent

Last 5 matches · 5W-0D-0L · +12 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Lillestrom or Fredrikstad + Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence68%

BetGenius backs Lillestrom or Fredrikstad + Over 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 68% confidence — a solid call.

Match preview

Fifth-placed Lillestrom host eighth-placed Fredrikstad at the Åråsen Stadion in round 19 of the Eliteserien, with just three points separating the sides in the table. Lillestrom enter the contest looking to snap a five-match winless run across all competitions (two draws, three defeats), having most recently drawn 0-0 away against Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 1-1 at KFUM Oslo. Despite recent struggles, Lillestrom took the reverse fixture 2-0 away at Fredrikstad in July.

Fredrikstad arrive in strong domestic form, riding a four-match winning streak in all competitions, including 1-0 league victories over Kristiansund BK and Sandefjord alongside cup wins against Start (1-0) and Eidsvold IF (7-1). However, their travel form in the Eliteserien remains vulnerable, having suffered six losses in nine away fixtures while conceding 19 goals (an average of 2.1 goals conceded per away match).

With Lillestrom yet to record a single draw on home turf this league campaign (four wins, four defeats) and Fredrikstad registering six defeats and two wins from nine trips, this encounter shapes up as an open, decisive contest between two teams with contrasting recent momentum.

Team news

Lillestrom

  • C. JebaraInjury
  • L. AlperudInjury
  • R. GabrielsenInjury
  • K. KrygardInjury

Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Fredrikstad

  • S. KvileKnee Injury
  • J. NysveenInjury
  • K. OkpalekeInjury

Team news last updated Sep 4 (5 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Statistical comparison

Lillestrom at home vs Fredrikstad away
9
Played
10
4-0-5
W-D-L
3-1-6
1.7
Scored /game
1.1
1.7
Conceded /game
2
11%
Clean sheets
10%
22%
Failed to score
40%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Lillestrom at home plus Fredrikstad away).

Key players this season

Lillestrom

  • Vá5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
2VikingPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)19+2444
3TromsoPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)19+1235
4MoldePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)19+933
5Lillestrom19029
6Rosenborg19+527
7Brann19+826
8Fredrikstad19-726
9Sarpsborg 08 FF19-324
10Ham-Kam19-1023
11Valerenga19-722

Head-to-head

Full record →
Lillestrom
2
Draws
3
Fredrikstad
4

Fredrikstad have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, both teams scored in 67% of them.

  • 2026-08-30Lillestrom 1-4 Fredrikstad
  • 2026-07-11Fredrikstad 0-2 Lillestrom
  • 2026-01-31Lillestrom 2-2 Fredrikstad
  • 2025-05-21Lillestrom 1-1 Fredrikstad
  • 2025-03-22Fredrikstad 1-0 Lillestrom

Our record in Eliteserien

79%19 won from 24 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Lillestrom or Fredrikstad + Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence68%

Lillestrom or Fredrikstad — 78% confidence

Lillestrom have produced a decisive result in all eight of their home league fixtures this season (four wins, four losses, zero draws). Similarly, Fredrikstad have registered only one draw in nine away league matches (two wins, six losses). Combining both profiles, 16 of their 17 home/away league games have ended with a winner, making the double chance on either side a strongly supported angle.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Lillestrom's home league fixtures average 3.13 total goals per game, with the team scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4 goals per match. Fredrikstad have exhibited defensive vulnerabilities on the road, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per away league fixture (19 conceded in nine games). These metrics point to a high probability of at least three goals being scored.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Market
Total Goals
Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence68%

Lillestrom's home league fixtures average 3.13 total goals per game, with the team scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4 goals per match. Fredrikstad have exhibited defensive vulnerabilities on the road, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per away league fixture (19 conceded in nine games). These metrics point to a high probability of at least three goals being scored.

Combo BetWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Lillestrom or Fredrikstad
Confidence78%

Lillestrom have produced a decisive result in all eight of their home league fixtures this season (four wins, four losses, zero draws). Similarly, Fredrikstad have registered only one draw in nine away league matches (two wins, six losses). Combining both profiles, 16 of their 17 home/away league games have ended with a winner, making the double chance on either side a strongly supported angle.

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Bodo/GlimtVikingTromsoMoldeRosenborgBrann
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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.