Super Nova have demonstrated superior consistency away from home, taking seven wins from 14 road matches while conceding just one goal per game. Ogre United have managed only one win in 14 home fixtures and have conceded 30 goals in that span, making the visitors well placed to secure at least a point.
Ogre United vs Super Nova prediction
Checking status…Recent form
Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -7 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference
Our verdict
StrongBetGenius backs Super Nova or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Ogre United host Super Nova in Virsliga action with the two sides at contrasting ends of the table. Ogre United remain rooted to the bottom of the standings with 15 points from 30 matches, having managed just three victories all season. Super Nova sit in 6th place with 35 points and enter this contest looking to consolidate their position in mid-table.
Defensive vulnerabilities have plagued Ogre United throughout the campaign, having conceded 75 goals in 29 recorded league fixtures and failing to keep a single clean sheet across 14 home outings. In contrast, Super Nova have proven notably resilient on their travels, securing 7 wins from 14 away matches while conceding only 14 goals on the road. Super Nova also carry momentum from a four-match unbeaten streak.
Previous encounters between these two clubs point towards an open contest. Across their five recorded meetings, Super Nova hold three wins to Ogre United's one, with four of those five clashes producing three or more goals.
Key factors
- Ogre United have won just one of their 14 home matches this season, conceding 30 goals.
- Super Nova have won seven of their 14 away league games, conceding only 14 times.
- Ogre United have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five fixtures.
- Four of the five historic meetings between these teams produced over 2.5 goals.
Statistical comparison
Ogre United at home vs Super Nova awayCombined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Ogre United at home plus Super Nova away).
Table context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Auda | 30 | +19 | 60 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 30 | -2 | 42 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 0 | 38 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 29 | -10 | 35 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 30 | -16 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 30 | -31 | 25 |
| 9 | Tukums | 30 | -17 | 23 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 30 | -47 | 15 |
Head-to-head
Full record →Super Nova have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.
- 2026-07-06Super Nova 1-2 Ogre United
- 2026-05-16Super Nova 3-1 Ogre United
- 2026-04-03Ogre United 1-2 Super Nova
- 2024-11-10Super Nova 3-0 Ogre United
- 2024-07-27Ogre United 1-1 Super Nova
Our record in Virsliga
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.3 published markets
Ogre United have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five matches, averaging 2.1 goals conceded per home game this season. Additionally, 80 percent of the previous five meetings between Ogre United and Super Nova have produced over 2.5 goals.
Super Nova or Draw — 76% confidence
Super Nova have demonstrated superior consistency away from home, taking seven wins from 14 road matches while conceding just one goal per game. Ogre United have managed only one win in 14 home fixtures and have conceded 30 goals in that span, making the visitors well placed to secure at least a point.
Over 2.5 Goals — 67% confidence
Ogre United have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five matches, averaging 2.1 goals conceded per home game this season. Additionally, 80 percent of the previous five meetings between Ogre United and Super Nova have produced over 2.5 goals.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.