Paide sit third in the standings and have collected seven wins from 12 home matches, conceding an average of only one goal per game on home turf. Laagri have been vulnerable away from home, suffering nine losses in 13 away fixtures. With Paide unbeaten at home in four head-to-head clashes against Laagri, taking the hosts in the draw no bet market provides strong security against the possibility of a level scoreline.
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +1 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -2 goal difference
Our verdict
StrongBetGenius backs Paide (draw no bet) (Draw No Bet) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Third-placed Paide host seventh-placed Laagri in round 28 of the Meistriliiga, with 14 points separating the two sides in the table. Paide remain firmly in the European qualification zone with 45 points from 26 matches, having recorded 13 wins and seven draws so far this season.
Laagri come into the match seeking consistency after a campaign defined by extremes, recording 10 victories and 16 defeats from 27 fixtures with just one draw overall. Their record away from home has been particularly fragile, losing nine of their 13 road games while conceding 25 goals in the process.
Paide have enjoyed the upper hand on home soil against Laagri, recording three wins and a draw across four previous meetings at this venue. Given Laagri's defensive difficulties on their travels and Paide's solid home record of seven wins from 12 outings, the hosts hold the clearer advantages heading into kickoff.
Key factors
- Laagri have lost nine of their 13 away league matches this season, conceding 25 goals on their travels.
- Paide have won seven of their 12 home fixtures, conceding only 12 goals at an average of 1.00 per match.
- Paide are unbeaten in four home head-to-head meetings with Laagri, winning three and drawing one.
- The ten previous meetings between the clubs have averaged three goals per match, with 60 percent finishing over 2.5 goals.
Statistical comparison
Paide at home vs Laagri awayCombined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Paide at home plus Laagri away).
Key players this season
Paide
- Daniel Cabral5G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification) | 26 | +50 | 65 |
| 2 | Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 27 | +18 | 49 |
| 3 | PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 26 | +9 | 45 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 27 | +21 | 44 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 26 | -4 | 41 |
| 6 | Vaprus | 26 | -11 | 34 |
| 7 | Laagri | 27 | -8 | 31 |
| 8 | Nõmme United | 27 | -18 | 28 |
| 9 | KuressaareMeistriliiga (Relegation) | 27 | -16 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga | 27 | -41 | 18 |
Head-to-head
Full record →Paide have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.
- 2026-07-19Laagri 5-2 Paide
- 2026-06-17Paide 1-0 Laagri
- 2026-04-22Laagri 2-2 Paide
- 2025-09-20Laagri 3-0 Paide
- 2025-08-03Paide 2-0 Laagri
Our record in Meistriliiga
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.3 published markets
Matches involving these two teams regularly feature goals, fitting a competition where matches average 3.12 goals overall. Laagri's away fixtures have produced 40 goals across 13 matches, with the visitors conceding 1.90 goals per game on the road. Additionally, 60 percent of the ten head-to-head encounters between the sides have surpassed the 2.5 goal mark, including their most recent meeting which produced seven goals.
Paide (draw no bet) — 75% confidence
Paide sit third in the standings and have collected seven wins from 12 home matches, conceding an average of only one goal per game on home turf. Laagri have been vulnerable away from home, suffering nine losses in 13 away fixtures. With Paide unbeaten at home in four head-to-head clashes against Laagri, taking the hosts in the draw no bet market provides strong security against the possibility of a level scoreline.
Over 2.5 Goals — 70% confidence
Matches involving these two teams regularly feature goals, fitting a competition where matches average 3.12 goals overall. Laagri's away fixtures have produced 40 goals across 13 matches, with the visitors conceding 1.90 goals per game on the road. Additionally, 60 percent of the ten head-to-head encounters between the sides have surpassed the 2.5 goal mark, including their most recent meeting which produced seven goals.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (draw no bet and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.