BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 34
Venue
Jana Skredela stadions, Riga
Form

Recent form

Super Nova
23Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -6 goal difference

Rīgas FS
89Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +9 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Rīgas FS to win

BetGenius backs Rīgas FS to win (Match Winner) at 85% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

85%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

League leaders Rīgas FS travel to face sixth-placed Super Nova in round 34 of the Virsliga, holding a massive 45-point advantage over the hosts in the standings. Rīgas FS have dominated the campaign with 26 victories from 33 matches, scoring 81 goals and conceding only 24. Their away record is equally commanding, featuring 14 wins from 16 outings on the road with just a single defeat.

Super Nova enter this contest in poor form, having lost four of their last five league fixtures, including a 4-0 defeat away to Rīgas FS just ten days ago. At home, Super Nova have struggled to establish control, dropping nine of their 16 matches and allowing 26 goals in front of their own supporters.

Historical matchups between the two clubs tell an overwhelmingly one-sided story. Rīgas FS have won all ten recorded head-to-head encounters, outscoring Super Nova consistently across both league and cup competitions. Given the stark disparity in quality, depth, and momentum, the visitors are positioned strongly to collect another three points.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Rīgas FS hold a perfect record in the head-to-head history, winning all 10 meetings between the sides.
  2. Rīgas FS have won 14 of their 16 away fixtures in the league this season, conceding only 10 goals on their travels.
  3. Super Nova have lost four of their last five matches, including a 4-0 defeat against Rīgas FS on 15 October 2026.
  4. Super Nova have suffered 9 defeats in 16 home matches this season, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game on home soil.
  5. Past encounters between these two clubs have produced an average of 3.9 goals per game, with 80 percent finishing over 2.5 goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Super Nova at homeRīgas FS away
16
Played
16
4-3-9
W-D-L
14-1-1
1.1
Scored /game
1.8
1.6
Conceded /game
0.6
19%
Clean sheets
56%
19%
Failed to score
0%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Super Nova at home plus Rīgas FS away).

Players

Key players this season

Super Nova

  • M. Ošs3G
  • R. Ķiršs2G
  • R. Šitjakovs1G · 1A

Rīgas FS

  • J. Ikaunieks1A
  • M. Saidy1A
  • D. Zelenkovs1A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Rīgas FS33+5783
2Riga33+5979
3Auda33+1964
4FK Liepaja33046
5BFC Daugavpils33+245
6Super Nova33-1538
7FS Jelgava33-2232
8Grobiņa33-3129
9Tukums33-2124
History

Head-to-head

0
Super Nova
0
Draws
10
Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS have won 10 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-10-15Rīgas FS4-0Super Nova
  • 2026-08-16Super Nova0-1Rīgas FS
  • 2026-05-29Super Nova1-2Rīgas FS
  • 2026-04-18Rīgas FS2-0Super Nova
  • 2026-01-14Rīgas FS5-2Super Nova
BetGenius

Our record in Virsliga

55%22 won from 40 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Match Winner
Rīgas FS to win
85%
Confidence

Rīgas FS have won all 10 head-to-head meetings between these clubs, including a decisive 4-0 victory when they met on 15 October 2026. The visitors have compiled 83 points and 26 wins from 33 league fixtures, while taking 14 wins from 16 away trips. Super Nova have suffered 17 defeats overall and lost 9 of 16 home matches this season, creating an undeniable gulf in quality that strongly favours an away victory.

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Published October 24, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.