Vaprus vs Nõmme United prediction

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Meistriliiga

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 5, 02:00 PM

Round

Regular Season - 26

Venue

Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu

Referee

J. Jakobson

Recent form

Vaprus

40Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Nõmme United

38Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -2 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong

Market

Total Goals

Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Confidence76%

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Vaprus host Nomme United in Meistriliiga action at the Parnu Rannastaadion, just three days after the two sides met in a dramatic five-goal cup clash that ended 3-2 in Nomme United's favour. Only three points separate the teams in the league standings, with Vaprus sitting in seventh on 28 points and Nomme United in eighth on 25 points, right above the relegation playoff position.

Vaprus have been steady in front of goal at home, averaging 1.7 goals scored per game across 12 home matches. However, defensive frailties have also seen them concede at an identical rate of 1.7 goals per home outing, contributing to a sequence of high-scoring scorelines across recent weeks.

Nomme United have been one of the most open sides in the division, scoring 42 goals while conceding 60 in their 25 league fixtures. Having failed to record a single clean sheet across the entire league campaign, their fixtures consistently feature plenty of chances at both ends of the pitch.

Key factors

Nomme United have recorded zero clean sheets in 25 league matches this season, conceding 60 goals.
The two sides met three days prior to this fixture in the cup, producing a 3-2 scoreline.
Across their last 10 head-to-head meetings, fixtures have averaged 4.3 goals per match with 80 percent surpassing 2.5 goals.
Vaprus average 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded per match across their 12 home league fixtures.

Statistical comparison

Vaprus at home vs Nõmme United away

Played

6-2-5

W-D-L

4-1-8

1.6

Scored /game

1.2

1.5

Conceded /game

2.6

31%

Clean sheets

15%

Failed to score

23%

80%

BTTS (last 5)

60%

80%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Vaprus at home plus Nõmme United away).

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
4	Paide	25	+7	42
5	Tammeka	25	-2	41
6	Laagri	26	-7	31
7	Vaprus	25	-12	31
8	Nõmme United	27	-18	28
9	KuressaareMeistriliiga (Relegation)	26	-12	28
10	Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga	27	-41	18

Head-to-head

Full record →

Vaprus

Draws

Nõmme United

Vaprus have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 4.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

2026-09-05Vaprus 1-0 Nõmme United
2026-09-02Nõmme United 3-2 Vaprus
2026-05-02Vaprus 2-3 Nõmme United
2026-03-14Nõmme United 7-1 Vaprus
2025-02-12Vaprus 7-0 Nõmme United

Our record in Meistriliiga

48%12 won from 25 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

1 published market

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