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FC Levadia Tallinn vs Vaprus prediction
Checking status…Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 11:30 AM
Round
Regular Season - 28
Venue
A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Recent form
FC Levadia Tallinn
95Excellent
Last 5 matches · 5W-0D-0L · +11 goal difference
Vaprus
58Average
Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference
Our verdict
StrongMarket
Total Goals
Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence79%
BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 79% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Meistriliiga leaders FC Levadia Tallinn host sixth-placed Vaprus holding a commanding 31-point lead over their opponents in the table. Levadia have dominated the current campaign with 20 victories from 26 matches and a goal difference of plus 50, having scored 70 goals while conceding only 20.
Vaprus travel to the capital in mixed form, sitting in sixth place with 34 points and a minus 11 goal difference. While they have secured consecutive home victories against Laagri and Nomme United, their away form has been fragile, suffering seven defeats from 12 league fixtures on the road and conceding 26 goals in that span.
Historical meetings between these clubs have consistently delivered high-scoring encounters. Across their past ten head-to-head fixtures, Levadia have earned seven wins, with matches averaging 4.1 total goals and both teams scoring in all ten encounters.
Key factors
- FC Levadia Tallinn sit top of the Meistriliiga with 20 wins from 26 matches and an unbeaten run of five straight victories.
- Levadia average 3.0 goals scored per home match and have scored in 100 percent of their league fixtures this season.
- Vaprus have struggled away from home, losing seven of 12 road fixtures with 26 goals conceded.
- The last ten meetings between the two teams average 4.1 goals per game, with nine finishing over 2.5 total goals.
- Both teams have scored in each of the previous ten head-to-head fixtures.
Statistical comparison
FC Levadia Tallinn at home vs Vaprus away12
Played
12
8-3-1
W-D-L
3-2-7
3
Scored /game
1.1
0.6
Conceded /game
2.2
58%
Clean sheets
17%
0%
Failed to score
17%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%
Combined scoring rate: 4.1 goals per game (FC Levadia Tallinn at home plus Vaprus away).
Table context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification) | 26 | +50 | 65 |
| 2 | Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 27 | +18 | 49 |
| 3 | PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 26 | +9 | 45 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 27 | +21 | 44 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 26 | -4 | 41 |
| 6 | Vaprus | 26 | -11 | 34 |
| 7 | Laagri | 27 | -8 | 31 |
| 8 | Nõmme United | 27 | -18 | 28 |
| 9 | KuressaareMeistriliiga (Relegation) | 27 | -16 | 28 |
Head-to-head
Full record →FC Levadia Tallinn
7
Draws
2
Vaprus
1
FC Levadia Tallinn have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 4.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 100% of them.
- 2026-08-02Vaprus 1-1 FC Levadia Tallinn
- 2026-05-24Vaprus 1-6 FC Levadia Tallinn
- 2026-04-08FC Levadia Tallinn 2-1 Vaprus
- 2026-01-24FC Levadia Tallinn 3-2 Vaprus
- 2025-10-26Vaprus 1-3 FC Levadia Tallinn
Our record in Meistriliiga
54%15 won from 28 settled predictions
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.4 published markets
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Combo Bet
Market
Total Goals
Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence79%
Nine of the last ten head-to-head fixtures have produced over 2.5 goals, with the meetings averaging 4.1 goals per game. Levadia average 3.0 goals scored per match at home this season and have not failed to score in any league game. Meanwhile, Vaprus concede 2.2 goals per away fixture and have seen at least three total goals scored in three of their last four league matches.
Featured
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Over 2.5 Goals + FC Levadia Tallinn to win
Confidence79%
Over 2.5 Goals — 79% confidence
Nine of the last ten head-to-head fixtures have produced over 2.5 goals, with the meetings averaging 4.1 goals per game. Levadia average 3.0 goals scored per match at home this season and have not failed to score in any league game. Meanwhile, Vaprus concede 2.2 goals per away fixture and have seen at least three total goals scored in three of their last four league matches.
FC Levadia Tallinn to win — 83% confidence
FC Levadia Tallinn are in formidable league form, winning each of their last five matches and accumulating 65 points from 26 rounds. At home, they have won eight of 12 games while outscoring visitors 36 to seven. In contrast, Vaprus have lost seven of their 12 away fixtures, allowing 2.2 goals per game on the road. Levadia have also claimed seven wins in the last ten meetings between these two sides.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and match winner), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Combo Bet
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
Yes
Confidence68%
Both teams have scored in all ten of the most recent head-to-head encounters between Levadia and Vaprus. Vaprus have found the net in each of their last five league matches, scoring nine goals in that sequence, while Levadia have conceded in three of their past four Meistriliiga outings.
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Published September 10, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.