Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -4 goal difference
BetGenius backs Gremio or Draw (Double Chance) at 82% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Gremio host bottom-of-the-table Chapecoense-sc in Round 25 of the Brazilian Serie A, seeking to capitalize on their strong home form and distance themselves further from the relegation scrap. Gremio currently sit in 15th place with 25 points from 23 matches, having built most of their campaign on home soil where they hold a solid 6-3-2 record with 18 goals scored and 13 conceded.
Chapecoense-sc remain rooted to 20th place with 14 points, holding the league's leakiest defense after shipping 46 goals in 23 fixtures. Away from home, the visitors have struggled considerably, remaining winless in 11 road outings (0 wins, 3 draws, 8 defeats) while averaging just 0.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
The visitors also face significant squad depletion, with key personnel including Camilo Reijers serving a suspension alongside fitness issues for Y. Bolasie, Max Alves, Rafael Carvalheira, Robert Conceicao, and Joao Paulo. While Gremio will miss the suspended E. Noriega and injured pair Dodi and J. Nardoni, the presence of Carlos Vinícius (10 league goals) gives the hosts a distinct focal point in attack.
Combined scoring rate: 2.5 goals per game (Gremio at home plus Chapecoense-sc away).
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Corinthians | 26 | 0 | 32 |
| 13 | Santos | 25 | -1 | 32 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 25 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Gremio | 25 | -6 | 28 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 26 | -11 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco DA GamaRelegation - Serie B | 25 | -13 | 25 |
| 18 | InternacionalRelegation - Serie B | 26 | -6 | 25 |
| 19 | RemoRelegation - Serie B | 26 | -13 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B | 25 | -23 | 17 |
Gremio have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Gremio have been dependable at home with six wins and only two losses in 11 matches, in stark contrast to Chapecoense-sc who have yet to win an away league match this season (0-3-8). Additionally, Chapecoense arrive heavily depleted by injuries and suspensions, while managing just seven goals on their travels. A double chance on the hosts covers the predominant paths to points while keeping variance low.
Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.
