Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -10 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +3 goal difference
BetGenius backs FK Liepaja to win (Match Winner) at 73% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Bottom-placed Ogre United host fourth-placed FK Liepaja in round 30 of the Virsliga. Ogre United have endured a difficult campaign, sitting tenth with 14 points from 28 matches and conceding 73 goals. They enter this fixture on a five-match losing run in league play, having suffered defeats against Tukums, Rigas FS, FS Jelgava, BFC Daugavpils, and Riga.
FK Liepaja come into this fixture on 41 points after 29 matches, sitting fourth in the table. Their recent outings include a 0-0 away draw against table-toppers Rigas FS and a 3-2 home victory against second-placed Riga. They hold a clear head-to-head advantage this season, having won all three previous league encounters against Ogre United by scores of 1-0, 4-1, and 4-0.
Combined scoring rate: 1.9 goals per game (Ogre United at home plus FK Liepaja away).
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 28 | +48 | 70 |
| 2 | Riga | 28 | +54 | 66 |
| 3 | Auda | 28 | +18 | 56 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 29 | -2 | 41 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 29 | +1 | 38 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 27 | -10 | 32 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 29 | -16 | 31 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 29 | -31 | 24 |
| 9 | Tukums | 29 | -16 | 23 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 28 | -46 | 14 |
FK Liepaja have won 3 of the last 3 meetings.
FK Liepaja possess a decisive advantage across table position, recent form, and head-to-head records. Ogre United have lost 20 of their 28 league matches, including each of their last five, while conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game overall. With Liepaja having already defeated Ogre United three times in 2026 by an aggregate score of 9-1, the visitors are well placed to secure all three points.
Ogre United have conceded 73 goals in 28 matches, giving up an average of 2.2 goals per home match and keeping zero clean sheets at home this season. All five of Ogre United's most recent matches have produced three or more total goals, and their head-to-head meetings with FK Liepaja have averaged 3.33 goals per match.
FK Liepaja to win — 73% confidence
FK Liepaja possess a decisive advantage across table position, recent form, and head-to-head records. Ogre United have lost 20 of their 28 league matches, including each of their last five, while conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game overall. With Liepaja having already defeated Ogre United three times in 2026 by an aggregate score of 9-1, the visitors are well placed to secure all three points.
Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence
Ogre United have conceded 73 goals in 28 matches, giving up an average of 2.2 goals per home match and keeping zero clean sheets at home this season. All five of Ogre United's most recent matches have produced three or more total goals, and their head-to-head meetings with FK Liepaja have averaged 3.33 goals per match.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Published September 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.
