BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 26
Venue
Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Referee
G. Osomkov
Form

Recent form

Paide
60Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

FC Levadia Tallinn
98Excellent

Last 5 matches · 5W-0D-0L · +17 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Meistriliiga leaders FC Levadia Tallinn travel to face fourth-placed Paide in what promises to be a high-tempo clash. Levadia arrive in dominant form, sitting at the summit of the table with 59 points from 24 games and boasting an unbeaten away record of 11 wins and two draws. Their attack has been relentless throughout the campaign, scoring 64 goals in 24 matches without failing to find the net once.

Paide have enjoyed a solid campaign of their own with 42 points, remaining firmly in the hunt for European qualification spots. Their home form is respectable, picking up seven wins from 11 matches at their own ground, but they face their toughest test of the season against an opponent that defeated them 4-1 in cup action just days prior.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Levadia Tallinn are unbeaten away from home in the league with 11 wins and two draws from 13 matches.
  2. Levadia have scored in all 24 league fixtures this season, averaging 2.7 goals per game overall.
  3. Nine of the last 10 meetings between Paide and Levadia have generated three or more total goals.
  4. Both teams found the net in each of the three meetings between these sides in 2026.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Paide at homeFC Levadia Tallinn away
14
Played
14
8-1-5
W-D-L
12-2-0
1.4
Scored /game
2.4
1
Conceded /game
0.9
36%
Clean sheets
14%
14%
Failed to score
0%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.8 goals per game (Paide at home plus FC Levadia Tallinn away).

Players

Key players this season

Paide

  • Daniel Cabral5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)32+6581
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)33+1658
3PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)32+1357
4Kalju Nomme32+2151
5Tammeka33-550
6Laagri33047
History

Head-to-head

3
Paide
1
Draws
6
FC Levadia Tallinn

FC Levadia Tallinn have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-09-06Paide0-2FC Levadia Tallinn
  • 2026-08-26FC Levadia Tallinn4-1Paide
  • 2026-05-17Paide1-3FC Levadia Tallinn
  • 2026-03-22FC Levadia Tallinn2-2Paide
  • 2025-10-22FC Levadia Tallinn1-2Paide
BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Direct encounters between these two clubs have consistently produced high goal tallies, with nine of their previous 10 head-to-head meetings finishing over 2.5 goals at an average of 3.5 goals per match. Levadia average 2.5 goals scored per away game, while Paide average 1.7 total goals per match in the league this season.

FeaturedLOST
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
Confidence

Both teams have scored in 70 percent of their last 10 head-to-head fixtures, including all three clashes played during 2026 with scorelines of 4-1, 3-1, and 2-2. Levadia have scored in every single league match this season, while Paide have failed to score in only two of their 24 Meistriliiga outings.

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
FC Levadia Tallinn or Draw
78%
Confidence

Levadia have been exceptionally resilient on the road, remaining undefeated through 13 away league fixtures with 11 victories and two draws. Paide have suffered three home defeats this season and were beaten comfortably in their two most recent clashes against Levadia across league and cup competitions. Backing Levadia to avoid defeat represents a strong probability given their 17-point lead over the hosts in the standings.

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Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.